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Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM

Over the past few decades, the world has seen substantial tropical cyclone (TC) damages, with the 2017 Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria entering the top-5 costliest Atlantic hurricanes ever. Calculating TC risk at a global scale, however, has proven difficult given the limited temporal and spatial...

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Autores principales: Bloemendaal, Nadia, Haigh, Ivan D., de Moel, Hans, Muis, Sanne, Haarsma, Reindert J., Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7005259/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32029746
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0381-2
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author Bloemendaal, Nadia
Haigh, Ivan D.
de Moel, Hans
Muis, Sanne
Haarsma, Reindert J.
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
author_facet Bloemendaal, Nadia
Haigh, Ivan D.
de Moel, Hans
Muis, Sanne
Haarsma, Reindert J.
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
author_sort Bloemendaal, Nadia
collection PubMed
description Over the past few decades, the world has seen substantial tropical cyclone (TC) damages, with the 2017 Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria entering the top-5 costliest Atlantic hurricanes ever. Calculating TC risk at a global scale, however, has proven difficult given the limited temporal and spatial information on TCs across much of the global coastline. Here, we present a novel database on TC characteristics on a global scale using a newly developed synthetic resampling algorithm we call STORM (Synthetic Tropical cyclOne geneRation Model). STORM can be applied to any meteorological dataset to statistically resample and model TC tracks and intensities. We apply STORM to extracted TCs from 38 years of historical data from IBTrACS to statistically extend this dataset to 10,000 years of TC activity. We show that STORM preserves the TC statistics as found in the original dataset. The STORM dataset can be used for TC hazard assessments and risk modeling in TC-prone regions.
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spelling pubmed-70052592020-02-11 Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM Bloemendaal, Nadia Haigh, Ivan D. de Moel, Hans Muis, Sanne Haarsma, Reindert J. Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. Sci Data Data Descriptor Over the past few decades, the world has seen substantial tropical cyclone (TC) damages, with the 2017 Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria entering the top-5 costliest Atlantic hurricanes ever. Calculating TC risk at a global scale, however, has proven difficult given the limited temporal and spatial information on TCs across much of the global coastline. Here, we present a novel database on TC characteristics on a global scale using a newly developed synthetic resampling algorithm we call STORM (Synthetic Tropical cyclOne geneRation Model). STORM can be applied to any meteorological dataset to statistically resample and model TC tracks and intensities. We apply STORM to extracted TCs from 38 years of historical data from IBTrACS to statistically extend this dataset to 10,000 years of TC activity. We show that STORM preserves the TC statistics as found in the original dataset. The STORM dataset can be used for TC hazard assessments and risk modeling in TC-prone regions. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-02-06 /pmc/articles/PMC7005259/ /pubmed/32029746 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0381-2 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ applies to the metadata files associated with this article.
spellingShingle Data Descriptor
Bloemendaal, Nadia
Haigh, Ivan D.
de Moel, Hans
Muis, Sanne
Haarsma, Reindert J.
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title_full Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title_fullStr Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title_full_unstemmed Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title_short Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
title_sort generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using storm
topic Data Descriptor
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7005259/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32029746
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0381-2
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