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Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences

Many traits correlate with body size. Studies that seek to uncover the ecological factors that drive evolutionary responses in traits typically examine these responses relative to associated changes in body size using multiple regression analysis. However, it is not well appreciated that in the pres...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Rogell, Björn, Dowling, Damian K., Husby, Arild
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7006466/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32055413
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/evl3.151
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author Rogell, Björn
Dowling, Damian K.
Husby, Arild
author_facet Rogell, Björn
Dowling, Damian K.
Husby, Arild
author_sort Rogell, Björn
collection PubMed
description Many traits correlate with body size. Studies that seek to uncover the ecological factors that drive evolutionary responses in traits typically examine these responses relative to associated changes in body size using multiple regression analysis. However, it is not well appreciated that in the presence of strongly correlated variables, the partial (i.e., relative) regression coefficients often change sign compared to the original coefficients. Such sign reversals are difficult to interpret in a biologically meaningful way, and could lead to erroneous evolutionary inferences if the true mechanism underlying the sign reversal differed from the proposed mechanism. Here, we use simulations to demonstrate that sign reversal occurs over a wide range of parameter values common in the biological sciences. Further, as a case‐in‐point, we review the literature on brain size evolution; a field that explores how ecological traits relate to the evolution of relative brain size (brain size relative to body size). We find that most studies show sign reversals and thus that the inferences of many studies in this field may be inconclusive. Finally, we propose some approaches to mitigating this issue.
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spelling pubmed-70064662020-02-13 Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences Rogell, Björn Dowling, Damian K. Husby, Arild Evol Lett Letters Many traits correlate with body size. Studies that seek to uncover the ecological factors that drive evolutionary responses in traits typically examine these responses relative to associated changes in body size using multiple regression analysis. However, it is not well appreciated that in the presence of strongly correlated variables, the partial (i.e., relative) regression coefficients often change sign compared to the original coefficients. Such sign reversals are difficult to interpret in a biologically meaningful way, and could lead to erroneous evolutionary inferences if the true mechanism underlying the sign reversal differed from the proposed mechanism. Here, we use simulations to demonstrate that sign reversal occurs over a wide range of parameter values common in the biological sciences. Further, as a case‐in‐point, we review the literature on brain size evolution; a field that explores how ecological traits relate to the evolution of relative brain size (brain size relative to body size). We find that most studies show sign reversals and thus that the inferences of many studies in this field may be inconclusive. Finally, we propose some approaches to mitigating this issue. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2019-12-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7006466/ /pubmed/32055413 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/evl3.151 Text en © 2019 The Authors. Evolution Letters published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of Society for the Study of Evolution (SSE) and European Society for Evolutionary Biology (ESEB). This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Letters
Rogell, Björn
Dowling, Damian K.
Husby, Arild
Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title_full Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title_fullStr Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title_full_unstemmed Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title_short Controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
title_sort controlling for body size leads to inferential biases in the biological sciences
topic Letters
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7006466/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32055413
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/evl3.151
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