Severity of acute gastrointestinal injury grade is a good predictor of mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND: Gastrointestinal (GI) dysfunction is a common and important complication of acute pancreatitis (AP), especially in patients with severe AP. Despite this, there is no consensus means of obtaining a precise assessment of GI function. AIM: To determine the association between acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) grade and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with AP. METHODS: Patients with AP admitted to our pancreatic intensive care unit from May 2017 to May 2019 were enrolled. GI function was assessed according to the AGI grade proposed by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine in 2012, which is mainly based on GI symptoms, intra-abdominal pressure, and feeding intolerance in the first week of admission to the intensive care unit. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between AGI grade and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with AP. RESULTS: Among the 286 patients included, the distribution of patients with various AGI grades was 34.62% with grade I, 22.03% with grade II, 32.52% with grade III, and 10.84% with grade IV. The distribution of mortality was 0% among those with grade I, 6.35% among those with grade II, 30.11% among those with grade III, and 61.29% among those with grade IV, and AGI grade was positively correlated with mortality (χ(2) = 31.511, P < 0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, serum calcium level, AGI grade, persistent renal failure, and persistent circulatory failure were independently associated with mortality. Compared with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (area under the curve: 0.739 vs 0.854; P < 0.05) and Ranson score (area under the curve: 0.72 vs 0.854; P < 0.01), the AGI grade was more useful for predicting mortality. CONCLUSION: AGI grade is useful for identifying the severity of GI dysfunction and can be used as a predictor of mortality in critically ill patients with AP.