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Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method

BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study w...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sukrat, Bunyarit, Okascharoen, Chusak, Rattanasiri, Sasivimol, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Arunakul, Jiraporn, Saejeng, Kittipong, Böhning, Dankmar, Thakkinstian, Ammarin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7031918/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32075596
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12884-020-2808-3
Descripción
Sumario:BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method. METHODS: An application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates. RESULTS: A total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12–31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics. CONCLUSIONS: With the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.