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Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method

BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study w...

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Autores principales: Sukrat, Bunyarit, Okascharoen, Chusak, Rattanasiri, Sasivimol, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Arunakul, Jiraporn, Saejeng, Kittipong, Böhning, Dankmar, Thakkinstian, Ammarin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7031918/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32075596
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12884-020-2808-3
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author Sukrat, Bunyarit
Okascharoen, Chusak
Rattanasiri, Sasivimol
Aekplakorn, Wichai
Arunakul, Jiraporn
Saejeng, Kittipong
Böhning, Dankmar
Thakkinstian, Ammarin
author_facet Sukrat, Bunyarit
Okascharoen, Chusak
Rattanasiri, Sasivimol
Aekplakorn, Wichai
Arunakul, Jiraporn
Saejeng, Kittipong
Böhning, Dankmar
Thakkinstian, Ammarin
author_sort Sukrat, Bunyarit
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method. METHODS: An application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates. RESULTS: A total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12–31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics. CONCLUSIONS: With the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.
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spelling pubmed-70319182020-02-25 Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method Sukrat, Bunyarit Okascharoen, Chusak Rattanasiri, Sasivimol Aekplakorn, Wichai Arunakul, Jiraporn Saejeng, Kittipong Böhning, Dankmar Thakkinstian, Ammarin BMC Pregnancy Childbirth Research Article BACKGROUND: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method. METHODS: An application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates. RESULTS: A total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12–31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics. CONCLUSIONS: With the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context. BioMed Central 2020-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7031918/ /pubmed/32075596 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12884-020-2808-3 Text en © The Author(s). 2020 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
spellingShingle Research Article
Sukrat, Bunyarit
Okascharoen, Chusak
Rattanasiri, Sasivimol
Aekplakorn, Wichai
Arunakul, Jiraporn
Saejeng, Kittipong
Böhning, Dankmar
Thakkinstian, Ammarin
Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title_full Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title_fullStr Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title_short Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
title_sort estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7031918/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32075596
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12884-020-2808-3
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