Hospital volume-outcome relationship in total knee arthroplasty: protocol for a systematic review and non-linear dose-response meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Knee osteoarthritis is a common, chronic condition and main contributor to global disability. Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is the most successful treatment for end-stage knee osteoarthritis. It is assumed that in the field of surgery, there is a relationship between hospital volume and health outcomes and that higher hospital volume results in better health outcomes. As a consequence, minimum volume thresholds have been implemented in Germany for various procedures, including TKA (50 procedures per year). To date, it is unclear whether minimum volume thresholds truly result in better outcomes. The objective of this study will be to quantify the relationship between hospital volume and patient-relevant outcomes in patients undergoing TKA. METHODS: We will include published or unpublished (cluster-) randomized controlled trials and prospective or retrospective cohort studies that involve patients with primary and/or revision TKA, report at least two different hospital volumes and report at least one patient-relevant outcome. To identify studies, we will systematically search (from inception onwards) PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL, as well as trial registers, conference proceedings, and reference lists. We will also contact experts in the field. Study selection and data extraction will be performed by two reviewers independently. The primary outcome will be rate of early revision. Secondary outcomes will include rate of revision > 1 year, mortality, length of stay, readmission rate, surgical complications, adverse events and health-related quality of life. We will assess the risk of bias of the included studies using ROBINS-I or the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Both a linear and a non-linear dose-response meta-analyses will be performed. We will use the GRADE approach to evaluate our confidence in the cumulative evidence. We will incorporate patients’ needs, goals and preferences into our recommendations by consulting three focus groups, each consisting of eight participants. DISCUSSION: The findings of our systematic review will probably be limited by the design of the included studies. We do not expect to identify any (cluster-) randomized controlled trials that meet our inclusion criteria. Therefore, the best available evidence included in our systematic review will most likely consist of cohort studies only. We anticipate that the results of this study will inform future health policy decisions in Germany regarding the minimum volume threshold for TKA. Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42019131209