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Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe
Around 70 Mha of land cover changes (LCCs) occurred in Europe from 1992 to 2015. Despite LCCs being an important driver of regional climate variations, their temperature effects at a continental scale have not yet been assessed. Here, we integrate maps of historical LCCs with a regional climate mode...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7044322/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32103013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14890-0 |
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author | Huang, Bo Hu, Xiangping Fuglstad, Geir-Arne Zhou, Xu Zhao, Wenwu Cherubini, Francesco |
author_facet | Huang, Bo Hu, Xiangping Fuglstad, Geir-Arne Zhou, Xu Zhao, Wenwu Cherubini, Francesco |
author_sort | Huang, Bo |
collection | PubMed |
description | Around 70 Mha of land cover changes (LCCs) occurred in Europe from 1992 to 2015. Despite LCCs being an important driver of regional climate variations, their temperature effects at a continental scale have not yet been assessed. Here, we integrate maps of historical LCCs with a regional climate model to investigate air temperature and humidity effects. We find an average temperature change of −0.12 ± 0.20 °C, with widespread cooling (up to −1.0 °C) in western and central Europe in summer and spring. At continental scale, the mean cooling is mainly correlated with agriculture abandonment (cropland-to-forest transitions), but a new approach based on ridge-regression decomposing the temperature change to the individual land transitions shows opposite responses to cropland losses and gains between western and eastern Europe. Effects of historical LCCs on European climate are non-negligible and region-specific, and ignoring land-climate biophysical interactions may lead to sub-optimal climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7044322 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-70443222020-03-04 Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe Huang, Bo Hu, Xiangping Fuglstad, Geir-Arne Zhou, Xu Zhao, Wenwu Cherubini, Francesco Nat Commun Article Around 70 Mha of land cover changes (LCCs) occurred in Europe from 1992 to 2015. Despite LCCs being an important driver of regional climate variations, their temperature effects at a continental scale have not yet been assessed. Here, we integrate maps of historical LCCs with a regional climate model to investigate air temperature and humidity effects. We find an average temperature change of −0.12 ± 0.20 °C, with widespread cooling (up to −1.0 °C) in western and central Europe in summer and spring. At continental scale, the mean cooling is mainly correlated with agriculture abandonment (cropland-to-forest transitions), but a new approach based on ridge-regression decomposing the temperature change to the individual land transitions shows opposite responses to cropland losses and gains between western and eastern Europe. Effects of historical LCCs on European climate are non-negligible and region-specific, and ignoring land-climate biophysical interactions may lead to sub-optimal climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-02-26 /pmc/articles/PMC7044322/ /pubmed/32103013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14890-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Huang, Bo Hu, Xiangping Fuglstad, Geir-Arne Zhou, Xu Zhao, Wenwu Cherubini, Francesco Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title | Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title_full | Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title_fullStr | Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title_full_unstemmed | Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title_short | Predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in Europe |
title_sort | predominant regional biophysical cooling from recent land cover changes in europe |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7044322/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32103013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14890-0 |
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