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Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters

Climate-related disasters cause substantial disruptions to human societies. With climate change, many extreme weather and climate events are expected to become more severe and more frequent. The International Disaster Database (EM-DAT) records climate-related disasters associated with observed impac...

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Autores principales: Tschumi, Elisabeth, Zscheischler, Jakob
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7045791/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32165774
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02556-w
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author Tschumi, Elisabeth
Zscheischler, Jakob
author_facet Tschumi, Elisabeth
Zscheischler, Jakob
author_sort Tschumi, Elisabeth
collection PubMed
description Climate-related disasters cause substantial disruptions to human societies. With climate change, many extreme weather and climate events are expected to become more severe and more frequent. The International Disaster Database (EM-DAT) records climate-related disasters associated with observed impacts such as affected people and economic damage on a country basis. Although disasters are classified into different meteorological categories, they are usually not linked to observed climate anomalies. Here, we investigate countrywide climate features associated with disasters that have occurred between 1950 and 2015 and have been classified as droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold waves using superposed epoch analysis. We find that disasters classified as heat waves are associated with significant countrywide increases in annual mean temperature of on average 0.13 (∘)C and a significant decrease in annual precipitation of 3.2%. Drought disasters show positive temperature anomalies of 0.08 (∘)C and a 4.8 % precipitation decrease. Disasters classified as droughts and heat waves are thus associated with significant annual countrywide anomalies in both temperature and precipitation. During years of flood disasters, precipitation is increased by 2.8 %. Cold wave disasters show no significant signal for either temperature or precipitation. We further find that climate anomalies tend to be larger in smaller countries, an expected behavior when computing countrywide averages. In addition, our results suggest that extreme weather disasters in developed countries are typically associated with larger climate anomalies compared to developing countries. This effect could be due to different levels of vulnerability, as a climate anomaly needs to be larger in a developed country to cause a societal disruption. Our analysis provides a first link between recorded climate-related disasters and observed climate data, which is an important step towards linking climate and impact communities and ultimately better constraining future disaster risk.
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spelling pubmed-70457912020-03-10 Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters Tschumi, Elisabeth Zscheischler, Jakob Clim Change Article Climate-related disasters cause substantial disruptions to human societies. With climate change, many extreme weather and climate events are expected to become more severe and more frequent. The International Disaster Database (EM-DAT) records climate-related disasters associated with observed impacts such as affected people and economic damage on a country basis. Although disasters are classified into different meteorological categories, they are usually not linked to observed climate anomalies. Here, we investigate countrywide climate features associated with disasters that have occurred between 1950 and 2015 and have been classified as droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold waves using superposed epoch analysis. We find that disasters classified as heat waves are associated with significant countrywide increases in annual mean temperature of on average 0.13 (∘)C and a significant decrease in annual precipitation of 3.2%. Drought disasters show positive temperature anomalies of 0.08 (∘)C and a 4.8 % precipitation decrease. Disasters classified as droughts and heat waves are thus associated with significant annual countrywide anomalies in both temperature and precipitation. During years of flood disasters, precipitation is increased by 2.8 %. Cold wave disasters show no significant signal for either temperature or precipitation. We further find that climate anomalies tend to be larger in smaller countries, an expected behavior when computing countrywide averages. In addition, our results suggest that extreme weather disasters in developed countries are typically associated with larger climate anomalies compared to developing countries. This effect could be due to different levels of vulnerability, as a climate anomaly needs to be larger in a developed country to cause a societal disruption. Our analysis provides a first link between recorded climate-related disasters and observed climate data, which is an important step towards linking climate and impact communities and ultimately better constraining future disaster risk. Springer Netherlands 2019-12-04 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7045791/ /pubmed/32165774 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02556-w Text en © The Author(s) 2019 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Article
Tschumi, Elisabeth
Zscheischler, Jakob
Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title_full Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title_fullStr Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title_full_unstemmed Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title_short Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
title_sort countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7045791/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32165774
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02556-w
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