Hidden Hypocalcemia as a Risk Factor for Cardiovascular Events and All-Cause Mortality among Patients Undergoing Incident Hemodialysis

Lower corrected calcium (cCa) levels are associated with a better prognosis among incident dialysis patients. However, cCa frequently overestimates ionized calcium (iCa) levels. The prognostic importance of the true calcium status defined by iCa remains to be revealed. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of incident hemodialysis patients. We collected data of iCa levels immediately before the first dialysis. We divided patients into three categories: apparent hypocalcemia (low iCa; <1.15 mmol/L and low cCa; <8.4 mg/dL), hidden hypocalcemia (low iCa despite normal or high cCa), and normocalcemia (normal iCa). The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and cardiovascular diseases after hospital discharge. Among the enrolled 332 patients, 75% of the patients showed true hypocalcemia, defined as iCa <1.15 mmol/L, 61% of whom showed hidden hypocalcemia. In multivariate Cox models including other potential risk factors, true hypocalcemia was a significant risk factor (hazard ratio [HR], 2.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–5.34), whereas hypocalcemia defined as corrected calcium <8.4 mg/dL was not. Furthermore, hidden hypocalcemia was significantly associated with an increased risk of the outcome compared with normocalcemia (HR, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.11–5.94), while apparent hypocalcemia was not. Patients with hidden hypocalcemia were less likely to receive interventions to correct hypocalcemia, such as increased doses of active vitamin D or administration of calcium carbonate, than patients with apparent hypocalcemia (odds ratio, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.23–0.89). Hidden hypocalcemia was a strong predictor of death and cardiovascular events, suggesting the importance of measuring iCa.