The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020

A cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was reported by China in late December 2019. Reported case incidence has now reached the hundreds, but this is likely an underestimate. As of 24 January 2020, with reports of thirteen exportation events, we estimate the cumulativ...

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Autores principales: Nishiura, Hiroshi, Jung, Sung-mok, Linton, Natalie M., Kinoshita, Ryo, Yang, Yichi, Hayashi, Katsuma, Kobayashi, Tetsuro, Yuan, Baoyin, Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2020
Materias:
Editorial
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7073674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31991628
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020330
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author Nishiura, Hiroshi
Jung, Sung-mok
Linton, Natalie M.
Kinoshita, Ryo
Yang, Yichi
Hayashi, Katsuma
Kobayashi, Tetsuro
Yuan, Baoyin
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.
author_facet Nishiura, Hiroshi
Jung, Sung-mok
Linton, Natalie M.
Kinoshita, Ryo
Yang, Yichi
Hayashi, Katsuma
Kobayashi, Tetsuro
Yuan, Baoyin
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.
author_sort Nishiura, Hiroshi
collection PubMed
description A cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was reported by China in late December 2019. Reported case incidence has now reached the hundreds, but this is likely an underestimate. As of 24 January 2020, with reports of thirteen exportation events, we estimate the cumulative incidence in China at 5502 cases (95% confidence interval: 3027, 9057). The most plausible number of infections is in the order of thousands, rather than hundreds, and there is a strong indication that untraced exposures other than the one in the epidemiologically linked seafood market in Wuhan have occurred.
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spelling pubmed-70736742020-03-19 The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020 Nishiura, Hiroshi Jung, Sung-mok Linton, Natalie M. Kinoshita, Ryo Yang, Yichi Hayashi, Katsuma Kobayashi, Tetsuro Yuan, Baoyin Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R. J Clin Med Editorial A cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was reported by China in late December 2019. Reported case incidence has now reached the hundreds, but this is likely an underestimate. As of 24 January 2020, with reports of thirteen exportation events, we estimate the cumulative incidence in China at 5502 cases (95% confidence interval: 3027, 9057). The most plausible number of infections is in the order of thousands, rather than hundreds, and there is a strong indication that untraced exposures other than the one in the epidemiologically linked seafood market in Wuhan have occurred. MDPI 2020-01-24 /pmc/articles/PMC7073674/ /pubmed/31991628 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020330 Text en © 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Editorial
Nishiura, Hiroshi
Jung, Sung-mok
Linton, Natalie M.
Kinoshita, Ryo
Yang, Yichi
Hayashi, Katsuma
Kobayashi, Tetsuro
Yuan, Baoyin
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.
The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title_full The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title_fullStr The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title_full_unstemmed The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title_short The Extent of Transmission of Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China, 2020
title_sort extent of transmission of novel coronavirus in wuhan, china, 2020
topic Editorial
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7073674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31991628
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020330
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