Evaluation of the fate of carcasses and dummies deployed in the nearshore and offshore waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico

In response to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, federal and state agencies conducted field studies to develop inputs for a shoreline deposition model used to estimate nearshore avian mortality resulting from the spill. A 2011 carcass drift study was designed to generate data on the likelihood that birds that died on the water would deposit along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast (rather than becoming lost at sea). In the case of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, carcass losses at sea accounted for a significant portion of nearshore avian mortality. We evaluate the data collected during the Deepwater Horizon carcass drift study and compare the results obtained from the use of avian carcasses versus dummy carcasses (dummies) and the differences between those deployed nearshore versus further offshore. We conclude that, although the use of dummies provided valuable confirmation on the drift patterns of dead birds, dummies drifted greater distances, for longer periods of time, and were more likely to be observed beached compared to avian carcasses, with 64.6% of dummies beaching compared to 17.2% of carcasses. In response to future spills, researchers should account for these potential biases when incorporating dummy drift data into estimates of avian carcass loss. Further, none of the avian carcasses and dummies released more than 40 km from the shoreline made it to shore. In the northern Gulf of Mexico, carcasses that die on the waters farther offshore are unlikely to make it to shore to be captured in a deposition model; therefore, it may be appropriate to utilize a separate methodology to estimate offshore mortality. The applicability of these results to other spill events should be evaluated in the context of the specific spill characteristics.