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Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020

On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive t...

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Autores principales: Mizumoto, Kenji, Kagaya, Katsushi, Zarebski, Alexander, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7078829/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32183930
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180
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author Mizumoto, Kenji
Kagaya, Katsushi
Zarebski, Alexander
Chowell, Gerardo
author_facet Mizumoto, Kenji
Kagaya, Katsushi
Zarebski, Alexander
Chowell, Gerardo
author_sort Mizumoto, Kenji
collection PubMed
description On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.
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spelling pubmed-70788292020-03-23 Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020 Mizumoto, Kenji Kagaya, Katsushi Zarebski, Alexander Chowell, Gerardo Euro Surveill Rapid Communication On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020-03-12 /pmc/articles/PMC7078829/ /pubmed/32183930 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Mizumoto, Kenji
Kagaya, Katsushi
Zarebski, Alexander
Chowell, Gerardo
Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title_full Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title_fullStr Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title_short Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020
title_sort estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) cases on board the diamond princess cruise ship, yokohama, japan, 2020
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7078829/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32183930
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180
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