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An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening

A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated i...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Xinxin, Liu, Shengqiang, Wang, Lin, Zhang, Weiwei
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7088875/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25976693
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6
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author Wang, Xinxin
Liu, Shengqiang
Wang, Lin
Zhang, Weiwei
author_facet Wang, Xinxin
Liu, Shengqiang
Wang, Lin
Zhang, Weiwei
author_sort Wang, Xinxin
collection PubMed
description A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated if [Formula: see text] , while the disease persists if [Formula: see text] . As an application, six different screening strategies are explored to examine the impacts of screening on the control of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. We find that it is crucial to screen travelers from and to high-risk patches, and it is not necessary to implement screening in all connected patches, and both the dispersal rates and the successful detection rate of screening play an important role on determining an effective and practical screening strategy.
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spelling pubmed-70888752020-03-23 An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening Wang, Xinxin Liu, Shengqiang Wang, Lin Zhang, Weiwei Bull Math Biol Original Article A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated if [Formula: see text] , while the disease persists if [Formula: see text] . As an application, six different screening strategies are explored to examine the impacts of screening on the control of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. We find that it is crucial to screen travelers from and to high-risk patches, and it is not necessary to implement screening in all connected patches, and both the dispersal rates and the successful detection rate of screening play an important role on determining an effective and practical screening strategy. Springer US 2015-05-15 2015 /pmc/articles/PMC7088875/ /pubmed/25976693 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6 Text en © Society for Mathematical Biology 2015 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Article
Wang, Xinxin
Liu, Shengqiang
Wang, Lin
Zhang, Weiwei
An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title_full An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title_fullStr An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title_full_unstemmed An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title_short An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
title_sort epidemic patchy model with entry–exit screening
topic Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7088875/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25976693
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6
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