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An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening
A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated i...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2015
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7088875/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25976693 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6 |
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author | Wang, Xinxin Liu, Shengqiang Wang, Lin Zhang, Weiwei |
author_facet | Wang, Xinxin Liu, Shengqiang Wang, Lin Zhang, Weiwei |
author_sort | Wang, Xinxin |
collection | PubMed |
description | A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated if [Formula: see text] , while the disease persists if [Formula: see text] . As an application, six different screening strategies are explored to examine the impacts of screening on the control of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. We find that it is crucial to screen travelers from and to high-risk patches, and it is not necessary to implement screening in all connected patches, and both the dispersal rates and the successful detection rate of screening play an important role on determining an effective and practical screening strategy. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7088875 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2015 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-70888752020-03-23 An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening Wang, Xinxin Liu, Shengqiang Wang, Lin Zhang, Weiwei Bull Math Biol Original Article A multi-patch SEIQR epidemic model is formulated to investigate the long-term impact of entry–exit screening measures on the spread and control of infectious diseases. A threshold dynamics determined by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is established: The disease can be eradicated if [Formula: see text] , while the disease persists if [Formula: see text] . As an application, six different screening strategies are explored to examine the impacts of screening on the control of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. We find that it is crucial to screen travelers from and to high-risk patches, and it is not necessary to implement screening in all connected patches, and both the dispersal rates and the successful detection rate of screening play an important role on determining an effective and practical screening strategy. Springer US 2015-05-15 2015 /pmc/articles/PMC7088875/ /pubmed/25976693 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6 Text en © Society for Mathematical Biology 2015 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Original Article Wang, Xinxin Liu, Shengqiang Wang, Lin Zhang, Weiwei An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title | An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title_full | An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title_fullStr | An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title_full_unstemmed | An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title_short | An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening |
title_sort | epidemic patchy model with entry–exit screening |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7088875/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25976693 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6 |
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