Cargando…

Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We assess the current understanding of the state and behaviour of aerosols under pre-industrial conditions and the importance for climate. RECENT FINDINGS: Studies show that the magnitude of anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial period calculated by climate m...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Carslaw, Kenneth S., Gordon, Hamish, Hamilton, Douglas S., Johnson, Jill S., Regayre, Leighton A., Yoshioka, M., Pringle, Kirsty J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7089647/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32226722
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0061-2
_version_ 1783509776972382208
author Carslaw, Kenneth S.
Gordon, Hamish
Hamilton, Douglas S.
Johnson, Jill S.
Regayre, Leighton A.
Yoshioka, M.
Pringle, Kirsty J.
author_facet Carslaw, Kenneth S.
Gordon, Hamish
Hamilton, Douglas S.
Johnson, Jill S.
Regayre, Leighton A.
Yoshioka, M.
Pringle, Kirsty J.
author_sort Carslaw, Kenneth S.
collection PubMed
description PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We assess the current understanding of the state and behaviour of aerosols under pre-industrial conditions and the importance for climate. RECENT FINDINGS: Studies show that the magnitude of anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial period calculated by climate models is strongly affected by the abundance and properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere. The low concentration of aerosol particles under relatively pristine conditions means that global mean cloud albedo may have been twice as sensitive to changes in natural aerosol emissions under pre-industrial conditions compared to present-day conditions. Consequently, the discovery of new aerosol formation processes and revisions to aerosol emissions have large effects on simulated historical aerosol radiative forcing. SUMMARY: We review what is known about the microphysical, chemical, and radiative properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere and the processes that control them. Aerosol properties were controlled by a combination of natural emissions, modification of the natural emissions by human activities such as land-use change, and anthropogenic emissions from biofuel combustion and early industrial processes. Although aerosol concentrations were lower in the pre-industrial atmosphere than today, model simulations show that relatively high aerosol concentrations could have been maintained over continental regions due to biogenically controlled new particle formation and wildfires. Despite the importance of pre-industrial aerosols for historical climate change, the relevant processes and emissions are given relatively little consideration in climate models, and there have been very few attempts to evaluate them. Consequently, we have very low confidence in the ability of models to simulate the aerosol conditions that form the baseline for historical climate simulations. Nevertheless, it is clear that the 1850s should be regarded as an early industrial reference period, and the aerosol forcing calculated from this period is smaller than the forcing since 1750. Improvements in historical reconstructions of natural and early anthropogenic emissions, exploitation of new Earth system models, and a deeper understanding and evaluation of the controlling processes are key aspects to reducing uncertainties in future.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7089647
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2017
publisher Springer International Publishing
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-70896472020-03-26 Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere Carslaw, Kenneth S. Gordon, Hamish Hamilton, Douglas S. Johnson, Jill S. Regayre, Leighton A. Yoshioka, M. Pringle, Kirsty J. Curr Clim Change Rep Aerosols and Climate (O Boucher, Section Editor) PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We assess the current understanding of the state and behaviour of aerosols under pre-industrial conditions and the importance for climate. RECENT FINDINGS: Studies show that the magnitude of anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial period calculated by climate models is strongly affected by the abundance and properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere. The low concentration of aerosol particles under relatively pristine conditions means that global mean cloud albedo may have been twice as sensitive to changes in natural aerosol emissions under pre-industrial conditions compared to present-day conditions. Consequently, the discovery of new aerosol formation processes and revisions to aerosol emissions have large effects on simulated historical aerosol radiative forcing. SUMMARY: We review what is known about the microphysical, chemical, and radiative properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere and the processes that control them. Aerosol properties were controlled by a combination of natural emissions, modification of the natural emissions by human activities such as land-use change, and anthropogenic emissions from biofuel combustion and early industrial processes. Although aerosol concentrations were lower in the pre-industrial atmosphere than today, model simulations show that relatively high aerosol concentrations could have been maintained over continental regions due to biogenically controlled new particle formation and wildfires. Despite the importance of pre-industrial aerosols for historical climate change, the relevant processes and emissions are given relatively little consideration in climate models, and there have been very few attempts to evaluate them. Consequently, we have very low confidence in the ability of models to simulate the aerosol conditions that form the baseline for historical climate simulations. Nevertheless, it is clear that the 1850s should be regarded as an early industrial reference period, and the aerosol forcing calculated from this period is smaller than the forcing since 1750. Improvements in historical reconstructions of natural and early anthropogenic emissions, exploitation of new Earth system models, and a deeper understanding and evaluation of the controlling processes are key aspects to reducing uncertainties in future. Springer International Publishing 2017-03-11 2017 /pmc/articles/PMC7089647/ /pubmed/32226722 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0061-2 Text en © The Author(s) 2017 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Aerosols and Climate (O Boucher, Section Editor)
Carslaw, Kenneth S.
Gordon, Hamish
Hamilton, Douglas S.
Johnson, Jill S.
Regayre, Leighton A.
Yoshioka, M.
Pringle, Kirsty J.
Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title_full Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title_fullStr Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title_full_unstemmed Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title_short Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere
title_sort aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere
topic Aerosols and Climate (O Boucher, Section Editor)
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7089647/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32226722
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0061-2
work_keys_str_mv AT carslawkenneths aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT gordonhamish aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT hamiltondouglass aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT johnsonjills aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT regayreleightona aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT yoshiokam aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere
AT pringlekirstyj aerosolsinthepreindustrialatmosphere