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Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, and innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded in network and spatial contexts. While the studies in the former context are intensively expanded, the latter remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we investigate the pattern formation...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Chen, Li
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Physical Society 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7092948/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30934258
http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.022308
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author Chen, Li
author_facet Chen, Li
author_sort Chen, Li
collection PubMed
description The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, and innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded in network and spatial contexts. While the studies in the former context are intensively expanded, the latter remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we investigate the pattern formation of an interacting contagion, where two infections, A and B, interact with each other and diffuse simultaneously in space. The contagion process for each follows the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible kinetics, and their interaction introduces a potential change in the secondary infection propensity compared to the baseline reproduction number [Formula: see text]. We show that the nontrivial spatial infection patterns arise when the susceptible individuals move faster than the infected and the interaction between the two infections is neither too competitive nor too cooperative. Interestingly, the system exhibits pattern hysteresis phenomena, i.e., quite different parameter regions for patterns exist in the direction of increasing or decreasing [Formula: see text]. Decreasing [Formula: see text] reveals remarkable enhancement in contagion prevalence, meaning that the eradication becomes difficult compared to the single-infection or coinfection without space. Linearization analysis supports our observations, and we have identified the required elements and dynamical mechanism, which suggests that these patterns are essentially Turing patterns. Our work thus reveals new complexities in interacting contagions and paves the way for further investigation because of its relevance to both biological and social contexts.
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spelling pubmed-70929482020-03-25 Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions Chen, Li Phys Rev E Articles The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, and innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded in network and spatial contexts. While the studies in the former context are intensively expanded, the latter remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we investigate the pattern formation of an interacting contagion, where two infections, A and B, interact with each other and diffuse simultaneously in space. The contagion process for each follows the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible kinetics, and their interaction introduces a potential change in the secondary infection propensity compared to the baseline reproduction number [Formula: see text]. We show that the nontrivial spatial infection patterns arise when the susceptible individuals move faster than the infected and the interaction between the two infections is neither too competitive nor too cooperative. Interestingly, the system exhibits pattern hysteresis phenomena, i.e., quite different parameter regions for patterns exist in the direction of increasing or decreasing [Formula: see text]. Decreasing [Formula: see text] reveals remarkable enhancement in contagion prevalence, meaning that the eradication becomes difficult compared to the single-infection or coinfection without space. Linearization analysis supports our observations, and we have identified the required elements and dynamical mechanism, which suggests that these patterns are essentially Turing patterns. Our work thus reveals new complexities in interacting contagions and paves the way for further investigation because of its relevance to both biological and social contexts. American Physical Society 2019-02-14 2019-02 /pmc/articles/PMC7092948/ /pubmed/30934258 http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.022308 Text en ©2019 American Physical Society This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source.
spellingShingle Articles
Chen, Li
Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title_full Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title_fullStr Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title_full_unstemmed Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title_short Persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
title_sort persistent spatial patterns of interacting contagions
topic Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7092948/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30934258
http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.022308
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