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A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation

With a five dimensional system of ordinary differential equations based on the SIR and SIS models, we consider the dynamics of epidemics in a community which consists of residents and short-stay visitors. Taking different viewpoints to consider public health policies to control the disease, we deriv...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dansu, Emmanuel J., Seno, Hiromi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7094103/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31228488
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.06.020
Descripción
Sumario:With a five dimensional system of ordinary differential equations based on the SIR and SIS models, we consider the dynamics of epidemics in a community which consists of residents and short-stay visitors. Taking different viewpoints to consider public health policies to control the disease, we derive different basic reproduction numbers and clarify their common/different mathematical natures so as to understand their meanings in the dynamics of the epidemic. From our analyses, the short-stay visitor subpopulation could become significant in determining the fate of diseases in the community. Furthermore, our arguments demonstrate that it is necessary to choose one variant of basic reproduction number in order to formulate appropriate public health policies.