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A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation

With a five dimensional system of ordinary differential equations based on the SIR and SIS models, we consider the dynamics of epidemics in a community which consists of residents and short-stay visitors. Taking different viewpoints to consider public health policies to control the disease, we deriv...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Dansu, Emmanuel J., Seno, Hiromi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7094103/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31228488
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.06.020
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author Dansu, Emmanuel J.
Seno, Hiromi
author_facet Dansu, Emmanuel J.
Seno, Hiromi
author_sort Dansu, Emmanuel J.
collection PubMed
description With a five dimensional system of ordinary differential equations based on the SIR and SIS models, we consider the dynamics of epidemics in a community which consists of residents and short-stay visitors. Taking different viewpoints to consider public health policies to control the disease, we derive different basic reproduction numbers and clarify their common/different mathematical natures so as to understand their meanings in the dynamics of the epidemic. From our analyses, the short-stay visitor subpopulation could become significant in determining the fate of diseases in the community. Furthermore, our arguments demonstrate that it is necessary to choose one variant of basic reproduction number in order to formulate appropriate public health policies.
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spelling pubmed-70941032020-03-25 A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation Dansu, Emmanuel J. Seno, Hiromi J Theor Biol Article With a five dimensional system of ordinary differential equations based on the SIR and SIS models, we consider the dynamics of epidemics in a community which consists of residents and short-stay visitors. Taking different viewpoints to consider public health policies to control the disease, we derive different basic reproduction numbers and clarify their common/different mathematical natures so as to understand their meanings in the dynamics of the epidemic. From our analyses, the short-stay visitor subpopulation could become significant in determining the fate of diseases in the community. Furthermore, our arguments demonstrate that it is necessary to choose one variant of basic reproduction number in order to formulate appropriate public health policies. Elsevier Ltd. 2019-10-07 2019-06-20 /pmc/articles/PMC7094103/ /pubmed/31228488 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.06.020 Text en © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Dansu, Emmanuel J.
Seno, Hiromi
A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title_full A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title_fullStr A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title_full_unstemmed A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title_short A model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
title_sort model for epidemic dynamics in a community with visitor subpopulation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7094103/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31228488
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.06.020
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