Cargando…

A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches

We study, in this paper, infection dynamics when an epidemic emerges to many regions which are connected with their neighbors by any kind of anthropological movement. For this, we devise a multi-regions discrete-time model with the three classical SIR compartments, describing the spatial-temporal be...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Zakary, Omar, Rachik, Mostafa, Elmouki, Ilias, Lazaiz, Samih
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7099345/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32226449
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-017-1168-4
_version_ 1783511313594449920
author Zakary, Omar
Rachik, Mostafa
Elmouki, Ilias
Lazaiz, Samih
author_facet Zakary, Omar
Rachik, Mostafa
Elmouki, Ilias
Lazaiz, Samih
author_sort Zakary, Omar
collection PubMed
description We study, in this paper, infection dynamics when an epidemic emerges to many regions which are connected with their neighbors by any kind of anthropological movement. For this, we devise a multi-regions discrete-time model with the three classical SIR compartments, describing the spatial-temporal behaviors of homogenous susceptible, infected and removed populations. We suppose a large geographical domain, presented by a grid of colored cells, to exhibit at each instant i the spatial propagation of an epidemic which affects its different parts or sub-domains that we call here cells or regions. In order to minimize the number of infected individuals in some regions, we suggest an optimal control approach based on a travel-blocking vicinity strategy which aims to control a group of cells, or a patch, by restricting movements of infected people coming from its neighboring cells. We apply a discrete version of Pontryagin’s maximum principle to state the necessary conditions and characterization of the travel-blocking optimal controls. We provide cellular simulations based on discrete progressive-regressive iterative schemes associated with the obtained multi-points boundary value problems. For illustrating the modeling and optimal control approaches, we consider an example of 100 regions.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7099345
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2017
publisher Springer International Publishing
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-70993452020-03-27 A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches Zakary, Omar Rachik, Mostafa Elmouki, Ilias Lazaiz, Samih Adv Differ Equ Research We study, in this paper, infection dynamics when an epidemic emerges to many regions which are connected with their neighbors by any kind of anthropological movement. For this, we devise a multi-regions discrete-time model with the three classical SIR compartments, describing the spatial-temporal behaviors of homogenous susceptible, infected and removed populations. We suppose a large geographical domain, presented by a grid of colored cells, to exhibit at each instant i the spatial propagation of an epidemic which affects its different parts or sub-domains that we call here cells or regions. In order to minimize the number of infected individuals in some regions, we suggest an optimal control approach based on a travel-blocking vicinity strategy which aims to control a group of cells, or a patch, by restricting movements of infected people coming from its neighboring cells. We apply a discrete version of Pontryagin’s maximum principle to state the necessary conditions and characterization of the travel-blocking optimal controls. We provide cellular simulations based on discrete progressive-regressive iterative schemes associated with the obtained multi-points boundary value problems. For illustrating the modeling and optimal control approaches, we consider an example of 100 regions. Springer International Publishing 2017-04-26 2017 /pmc/articles/PMC7099345/ /pubmed/32226449 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-017-1168-4 Text en © The Author(s) 2017 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Research
Zakary, Omar
Rachik, Mostafa
Elmouki, Ilias
Lazaiz, Samih
A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title_full A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title_fullStr A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title_full_unstemmed A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title_short A multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
title_sort multi-regions discrete-time epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on patches
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7099345/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32226449
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-017-1168-4
work_keys_str_mv AT zakaryomar amultiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT rachikmostafa amultiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT elmoukiilias amultiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT lazaizsamih amultiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT zakaryomar multiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT rachikmostafa multiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT elmoukiilias multiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches
AT lazaizsamih multiregionsdiscretetimeepidemicmodelwithatravelblockingvicinityoptimalcontrolapproachonpatches