A Qualitative Transcriptional Signature for Predicting Extreme Resistance of ER-Negative Breast Cancer to Paclitaxel, Doxorubicin, and Cyclophosphamide Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

For estrogen receptor (ER)-negative breast cancer patients, paclitaxel (P), doxorubicin (A) and cyclophosphamide (C) neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is the standard therapeutic regimen. Pathologic complete response (pCR) and residual disease (RD) are common surrogate measures of chemosensitivity. After NAC, most patients still have RD; of these, some partially respond to NAC, whereas others show extreme resistance and cannot benefit from NAC but only suffer complications resulting from drug toxicity. Here we developed a qualitative transcriptional signature, based on the within-sample relative expression ordering (REO) of gene pairs, to identify extremely resistant samples to PAC NAC. Using gene expression data for ER-negative breast cancer patients including 113 pCR samples and 137 RD samples from four datasets, we selected 61 gene pairs with reversal REO patterns between the two groups as the resistance signature, denoted as NR61. Samples with more than 37 signature gene pairs that had the same REO patterns within the extremely resistant group were defined as having extreme resistance; otherwise, they were considered responders. In the GSE25055 and GSE25065 dataset, the NR61 signature could correctly identify 44 (97.8%) of the 45 pCR samples and 22 (95.7%) of the 23 pCR samples as responder samples, respectively; it also identified 13 (16.9%) of 77 RD samples and 8 (21.1%) of 38 RD samples as extremely resistant samples, respectively. Survival analysis showed that the distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) time of the 14 extremely resistant cases was significantly shorter than that of the 108 responders (P < 0.01; HR = 3.84; 95% CI = 1.91–7.70) in GSE25055. Similar results were obtained in GSE25065. Moreover, in the integrated data of the two datasets with 94 responders and 21 extremely resistant samples identified from RD patients, the former had significantly longer DRFS than the latter (P < 0.01; HR = 2.22; 95% CI = 1.26–3.90). In summary, our signature could effectively identify patients who completely respond to PAC NAC, as well as cases of extreme resistance, which can assist decision-making on the clinical therapy for these patients.