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Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016

BACKGROUND: Progress towards the World Health Organization’s End TB Strategy is monitored by assessing tuberculosis (TB) incidence, often derived from TB notification, assuming complete case detection and reporting. This assumption is unlikely to hold in many settings, including European Union (EU)...

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Autores principales: Straetemans, Masja, Bakker, Mirjam I, Alba, Sandra, Mergenthaler, Christina, Rood, Ente, Andersen, Peter H, Schimmel, Henrieke, Simunovic, Aleksandar, Svetina, Petra, Carvalho, Carlos, Lyytikäinen, Outi, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Harris, Ross J, Ködmön, Csaba, van der Werf, Marieke J, van Hest, Rob
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7118341/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32234122
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.1900568
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author Straetemans, Masja
Bakker, Mirjam I
Alba, Sandra
Mergenthaler, Christina
Rood, Ente
Andersen, Peter H
Schimmel, Henrieke
Simunovic, Aleksandar
Svetina, Petra
Carvalho, Carlos
Lyytikäinen, Outi
Abubakar, Ibrahim
Harris, Ross J
Ködmön, Csaba
van der Werf, Marieke J
van Hest, Rob
author_facet Straetemans, Masja
Bakker, Mirjam I
Alba, Sandra
Mergenthaler, Christina
Rood, Ente
Andersen, Peter H
Schimmel, Henrieke
Simunovic, Aleksandar
Svetina, Petra
Carvalho, Carlos
Lyytikäinen, Outi
Abubakar, Ibrahim
Harris, Ross J
Ködmön, Csaba
van der Werf, Marieke J
van Hest, Rob
author_sort Straetemans, Masja
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Progress towards the World Health Organization’s End TB Strategy is monitored by assessing tuberculosis (TB) incidence, often derived from TB notification, assuming complete case detection and reporting. This assumption is unlikely to hold in many settings, including European Union (EU) countries. AIM: We aimed to assess observed and estimated completeness of TB notification through inventory studies and capture–recapture (CRC) methodology in six EU countries: Croatia, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, Portugal Slovenia. METHODS: We performed record linkage, case ascertainment and CRC analyses of data collected retrospectively from at least three national TB-related registers in each country between 2014 and 2016. RESULTS: Observed completeness of TB notification by inventory studies was 73.9% in Croatia, 98.7% in Denmark, 83.6% in Finland, 81.6% in the Netherlands, 85.8% in Portugal and 100% in Slovenia. Subsequent CRC analysis estimated completeness of TB notification to be 98.4% in Denmark, 76.5% in Finland and 77.0% in Portugal. In Croatia, CRC analyses produced implausible results while in the Netherlands and Slovenia, it was methodologically considered not meaningful. CONCLUSION: Inventory studies and CRC methodology suggest a TB notification completeness between 73.9% and 100% in the six EU countries. Mandatory reporting by clinicians and laboratories, and cross-checking of registers, strongly contributes to accurate notification rates, but hospital episode registers likely contain a considerable proportion of false-positive TB records and are thus less useful. Further strengthening routine surveillance to count TB cases, i.e. incidence, accurately by employing record-linkage of high-quality TB registers should make CRC studies obsolete in EU countries.
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spelling pubmed-71183412020-04-06 Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016 Straetemans, Masja Bakker, Mirjam I Alba, Sandra Mergenthaler, Christina Rood, Ente Andersen, Peter H Schimmel, Henrieke Simunovic, Aleksandar Svetina, Petra Carvalho, Carlos Lyytikäinen, Outi Abubakar, Ibrahim Harris, Ross J Ködmön, Csaba van der Werf, Marieke J van Hest, Rob Euro Surveill Research BACKGROUND: Progress towards the World Health Organization’s End TB Strategy is monitored by assessing tuberculosis (TB) incidence, often derived from TB notification, assuming complete case detection and reporting. This assumption is unlikely to hold in many settings, including European Union (EU) countries. AIM: We aimed to assess observed and estimated completeness of TB notification through inventory studies and capture–recapture (CRC) methodology in six EU countries: Croatia, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, Portugal Slovenia. METHODS: We performed record linkage, case ascertainment and CRC analyses of data collected retrospectively from at least three national TB-related registers in each country between 2014 and 2016. RESULTS: Observed completeness of TB notification by inventory studies was 73.9% in Croatia, 98.7% in Denmark, 83.6% in Finland, 81.6% in the Netherlands, 85.8% in Portugal and 100% in Slovenia. Subsequent CRC analysis estimated completeness of TB notification to be 98.4% in Denmark, 76.5% in Finland and 77.0% in Portugal. In Croatia, CRC analyses produced implausible results while in the Netherlands and Slovenia, it was methodologically considered not meaningful. CONCLUSION: Inventory studies and CRC methodology suggest a TB notification completeness between 73.9% and 100% in the six EU countries. Mandatory reporting by clinicians and laboratories, and cross-checking of registers, strongly contributes to accurate notification rates, but hospital episode registers likely contain a considerable proportion of false-positive TB records and are thus less useful. Further strengthening routine surveillance to count TB cases, i.e. incidence, accurately by employing record-linkage of high-quality TB registers should make CRC studies obsolete in EU countries. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020-03-26 /pmc/articles/PMC7118341/ /pubmed/32234122 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.1900568 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Research
Straetemans, Masja
Bakker, Mirjam I
Alba, Sandra
Mergenthaler, Christina
Rood, Ente
Andersen, Peter H
Schimmel, Henrieke
Simunovic, Aleksandar
Svetina, Petra
Carvalho, Carlos
Lyytikäinen, Outi
Abubakar, Ibrahim
Harris, Ross J
Ködmön, Csaba
van der Werf, Marieke J
van Hest, Rob
Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title_full Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title_fullStr Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title_full_unstemmed Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title_short Completeness of tuberculosis (TB) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six European Union countries, 2014 to 2016
title_sort completeness of tuberculosis (tb) notification: inventory studies and capture-recapture analyses, six european union countries, 2014 to 2016
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7118341/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32234122
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.1900568
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