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1,000,000 cases of COVID-19 outside of China: The date predicted by a simple heuristic
We forecast 1,000,000 COVID-19 cases outside of China by March 31st, 2020 based on a heuristic and WHO situation reports. We do not model the COVID-19 pandemic; we model only the number of cases. The proposed heuristic is based on a simple observation that the plot of the given data is well approxim...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Published by Elsevier Inc.
2020
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7118643/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32292911 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloepi.2020.100023 |