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Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities

Human communities are organized in complex webs of contacts that may be represented by a graph or network. In this graph, vertices identify individuals and edges establish the existence of some type of relations between them. In real communities, the possible edges may be active or not for variable...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pacheco, Jorge M., Van Segbroeck, Sven, Santos, Francisco C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7124106/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-5287-3_13
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author Pacheco, Jorge M.
Van Segbroeck, Sven
Santos, Francisco C.
author_facet Pacheco, Jorge M.
Van Segbroeck, Sven
Santos, Francisco C.
author_sort Pacheco, Jorge M.
collection PubMed
description Human communities are organized in complex webs of contacts that may be represented by a graph or network. In this graph, vertices identify individuals and edges establish the existence of some type of relations between them. In real communities, the possible edges may be active or not for variable periods of time. These so-called temporal networks typically result from an endogenous social dynamics, usually coupled to the process under study taking place in the community. For instance, disease spreading may be affected by local information that makes individuals aware of the health status of their social contacts, allowing them to reconsider maintaining or not their social contacts. Here we investigate the impact of such a dynamical network structure on disease dynamics, where infection occurs along the edges of the network. To this end, we define an endogenous network dynamics coupled with disease spreading. We show that the effective infectiousness of a disease taking place along the edges of this temporal network depends on the population size, the number of infected individuals in the population and the capacity of healthy individuals to sever contacts with the infected, ultimately dictated by availability of information regarding each individual’s health status. Importantly, we also show how dynamical networks strongly decrease the average time required to eradicate a disease.
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spelling pubmed-71241062020-04-06 Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities Pacheco, Jorge M. Van Segbroeck, Sven Santos, Francisco C. Temporal Network Epidemiology Article Human communities are organized in complex webs of contacts that may be represented by a graph or network. In this graph, vertices identify individuals and edges establish the existence of some type of relations between them. In real communities, the possible edges may be active or not for variable periods of time. These so-called temporal networks typically result from an endogenous social dynamics, usually coupled to the process under study taking place in the community. For instance, disease spreading may be affected by local information that makes individuals aware of the health status of their social contacts, allowing them to reconsider maintaining or not their social contacts. Here we investigate the impact of such a dynamical network structure on disease dynamics, where infection occurs along the edges of the network. To this end, we define an endogenous network dynamics coupled with disease spreading. We show that the effective infectiousness of a disease taking place along the edges of this temporal network depends on the population size, the number of infected individuals in the population and the capacity of healthy individuals to sever contacts with the infected, ultimately dictated by availability of information regarding each individual’s health status. Importantly, we also show how dynamical networks strongly decrease the average time required to eradicate a disease. 2017-10-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7124106/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-5287-3_13 Text en © Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2017 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Pacheco, Jorge M.
Van Segbroeck, Sven
Santos, Francisco C.
Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title_full Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title_fullStr Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title_full_unstemmed Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title_short Disease Spreading in Time-Evolving Networked Communities
title_sort disease spreading in time-evolving networked communities
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7124106/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-5287-3_13
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