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Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion

By incorporating segregated spatial domain and individual-based linkage into the SIS (susceptible–infected–susceptible) model, we propose a generalized epidemic model which can change from the territorial epidemic model to the networked epidemic model. The role of the individual-based linkage betwee...

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Autores principales: Zhong, Li-Xin, Xu, Wen-Juan, Chen, Rong-Da, Qiu, Tian, Shi, Yong-Dong, Zhong, Chen-Yang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7125621/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288092
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.05.023
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author Zhong, Li-Xin
Xu, Wen-Juan
Chen, Rong-Da
Qiu, Tian
Shi, Yong-Dong
Zhong, Chen-Yang
author_facet Zhong, Li-Xin
Xu, Wen-Juan
Chen, Rong-Da
Qiu, Tian
Shi, Yong-Dong
Zhong, Chen-Yang
author_sort Zhong, Li-Xin
collection PubMed
description By incorporating segregated spatial domain and individual-based linkage into the SIS (susceptible–infected–susceptible) model, we propose a generalized epidemic model which can change from the territorial epidemic model to the networked epidemic model. The role of the individual-based linkage between different spatial domains is investigated. As we adjust the timescale parameter [Formula: see text] from 0 to unity, which represents the degree of activation of the individual-based linkage, three regions are found. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the epidemic is determined by local movement and is sensitive to the timescale [Formula: see text]. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the epidemic is insensitive to the timescale [Formula: see text]. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the outbreak of the epidemic is determined by the structure of the individual-based linkage. As we keep an eye on the first region, the role of activating the individual-based linkage in the present model is similar to the role of the shortcuts in the two-dimensional small world network. Only activating a small number of the individual-based linkage can prompt the outbreak of the epidemic globally. The role of narrowing segregated spatial domain and reducing mobility in epidemic control is checked. These two measures are found to be conducive to curbing the spread of infectious disease only when the global interaction is suppressed. A log–log relation between the change in the number of infected individuals and the timescale [Formula: see text] is found. By calculating the epidemic threshold and the mean first encounter time, we heuristically analyze the microscopic characteristics of the propagation of the epidemic in the present model.
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spelling pubmed-71256212020-04-08 Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion Zhong, Li-Xin Xu, Wen-Juan Chen, Rong-Da Qiu, Tian Shi, Yong-Dong Zhong, Chen-Yang Physica A Article By incorporating segregated spatial domain and individual-based linkage into the SIS (susceptible–infected–susceptible) model, we propose a generalized epidemic model which can change from the territorial epidemic model to the networked epidemic model. The role of the individual-based linkage between different spatial domains is investigated. As we adjust the timescale parameter [Formula: see text] from 0 to unity, which represents the degree of activation of the individual-based linkage, three regions are found. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the epidemic is determined by local movement and is sensitive to the timescale [Formula: see text]. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the epidemic is insensitive to the timescale [Formula: see text]. Within the region of [Formula: see text] , the outbreak of the epidemic is determined by the structure of the individual-based linkage. As we keep an eye on the first region, the role of activating the individual-based linkage in the present model is similar to the role of the shortcuts in the two-dimensional small world network. Only activating a small number of the individual-based linkage can prompt the outbreak of the epidemic globally. The role of narrowing segregated spatial domain and reducing mobility in epidemic control is checked. These two measures are found to be conducive to curbing the spread of infectious disease only when the global interaction is suppressed. A log–log relation between the change in the number of infected individuals and the timescale [Formula: see text] is found. By calculating the epidemic threshold and the mean first encounter time, we heuristically analyze the microscopic characteristics of the propagation of the epidemic in the present model. Elsevier B.V. 2015-10-15 2015-05-18 /pmc/articles/PMC7125621/ /pubmed/32288092 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.05.023 Text en Copyright © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Zhong, Li-Xin
Xu, Wen-Juan
Chen, Rong-Da
Qiu, Tian
Shi, Yong-Dong
Zhong, Chen-Yang
Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title_full Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title_fullStr Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title_full_unstemmed Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title_short Coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
title_sort coupled effects of local movement and global interaction on contagion
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7125621/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288092
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.05.023
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