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Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage

The transmission of infectious, yet vaccine-preventable, diseases is a typical complex social phenomenon, where the increasing level of vaccine update in the population helps to inhibit the epidemic spreading, which in turn, however, discourages more people to participate in vaccination campaigns, d...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cai, Chao-Ran, Wu, Zhi-Xi, Guan, Jian-Yue
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7126457/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288360
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2014.04.005
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author Cai, Chao-Ran
Wu, Zhi-Xi
Guan, Jian-Yue
author_facet Cai, Chao-Ran
Wu, Zhi-Xi
Guan, Jian-Yue
author_sort Cai, Chao-Ran
collection PubMed
description The transmission of infectious, yet vaccine-preventable, diseases is a typical complex social phenomenon, where the increasing level of vaccine update in the population helps to inhibit the epidemic spreading, which in turn, however, discourages more people to participate in vaccination campaigns, due to the “externality effect” raised by vaccination. We herein study the impact of vaccination strategies, pure, continuous (rather than adopt vaccination definitely, the individuals choose to taking vaccine with some probabilities), or continuous with randomly mutation, on the vaccination dynamics with a spatial susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered (SVIR) epidemiological model. By means of extensive Monte-Carlo simulations, we show that there is a crossover behavior of the final vaccine coverage between the pure-strategy case and the continuous-strategy case, and remarkably, both the final vaccination level and epidemic size in the continuous-strategy case are less than them in the pure-strategy case when vaccination is cheap. We explain this phenomenon by analyzing the organization process of the individuals in the continuous-strategy case in the equilibrium. Our results are robust to the SVIR dynamics defined on other spatial networks, like the Erdős–Rényi and Barabási–Albert networks.
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spelling pubmed-71264572020-04-08 Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage Cai, Chao-Ran Wu, Zhi-Xi Guan, Jian-Yue Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The transmission of infectious, yet vaccine-preventable, diseases is a typical complex social phenomenon, where the increasing level of vaccine update in the population helps to inhibit the epidemic spreading, which in turn, however, discourages more people to participate in vaccination campaigns, due to the “externality effect” raised by vaccination. We herein study the impact of vaccination strategies, pure, continuous (rather than adopt vaccination definitely, the individuals choose to taking vaccine with some probabilities), or continuous with randomly mutation, on the vaccination dynamics with a spatial susceptible-vaccinated-infected-recovered (SVIR) epidemiological model. By means of extensive Monte-Carlo simulations, we show that there is a crossover behavior of the final vaccine coverage between the pure-strategy case and the continuous-strategy case, and remarkably, both the final vaccination level and epidemic size in the continuous-strategy case are less than them in the pure-strategy case when vaccination is cheap. We explain this phenomenon by analyzing the organization process of the individuals in the continuous-strategy case in the equilibrium. Our results are robust to the SVIR dynamics defined on other spatial networks, like the Erdős–Rényi and Barabási–Albert networks. Elsevier Ltd. 2014 2014-05-07 /pmc/articles/PMC7126457/ /pubmed/32288360 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2014.04.005 Text en Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Cai, Chao-Ran
Wu, Zhi-Xi
Guan, Jian-Yue
Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title_full Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title_fullStr Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title_full_unstemmed Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title_short Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
title_sort effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7126457/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288360
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2014.04.005
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