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Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks

We investigate the effects of delaying the time to recovery (delayed recovery) and of nonuniform transmission on the propagation of diseases on structured populations. Through a mean-field approximation and large-scale numerical simulations, we find that postponing the transition from the infectious...

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Autores principales: Xia, Cheng-yi, Wang, Zhen, Sanz, Joaquin, Meloni, Sandro, Moreno, Yamir
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7126830/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288088
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2012.11.043
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author Xia, Cheng-yi
Wang, Zhen
Sanz, Joaquin
Meloni, Sandro
Moreno, Yamir
author_facet Xia, Cheng-yi
Wang, Zhen
Sanz, Joaquin
Meloni, Sandro
Moreno, Yamir
author_sort Xia, Cheng-yi
collection PubMed
description We investigate the effects of delaying the time to recovery (delayed recovery) and of nonuniform transmission on the propagation of diseases on structured populations. Through a mean-field approximation and large-scale numerical simulations, we find that postponing the transition from the infectious to the recovered states can largely reduce the epidemic threshold, therefore promoting the outbreak of epidemics. On the other hand, if we consider nonuniform transmission among individuals, the epidemic threshold increases, thus inhibiting the spreading process. When both mechanisms are at work, the latter might prevail, hence resulting in an increase of the epidemic threshold with respect to the standard case, in which both ingredients are absent. Our findings are of interest for a better understanding of how diseases propagate on structured populations and to a further design of efficient immunization strategies.
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spelling pubmed-71268302020-04-08 Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks Xia, Cheng-yi Wang, Zhen Sanz, Joaquin Meloni, Sandro Moreno, Yamir Physica A Article We investigate the effects of delaying the time to recovery (delayed recovery) and of nonuniform transmission on the propagation of diseases on structured populations. Through a mean-field approximation and large-scale numerical simulations, we find that postponing the transition from the infectious to the recovered states can largely reduce the epidemic threshold, therefore promoting the outbreak of epidemics. On the other hand, if we consider nonuniform transmission among individuals, the epidemic threshold increases, thus inhibiting the spreading process. When both mechanisms are at work, the latter might prevail, hence resulting in an increase of the epidemic threshold with respect to the standard case, in which both ingredients are absent. Our findings are of interest for a better understanding of how diseases propagate on structured populations and to a further design of efficient immunization strategies. Elsevier B.V. 2013-04-01 2012-11-26 /pmc/articles/PMC7126830/ /pubmed/32288088 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2012.11.043 Text en Copyright © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Xia, Cheng-yi
Wang, Zhen
Sanz, Joaquin
Meloni, Sandro
Moreno, Yamir
Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title_full Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title_fullStr Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title_full_unstemmed Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title_short Effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
title_sort effects of delayed recovery and nonuniform transmission on the spreading of diseases in complex networks
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7126830/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32288088
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2012.11.043
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