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Simulating and forecasting the cumulative confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 in China by Boltzmann function-based regression analyses

• Cumulative confirmed cases in China were well fitted with Boltzmann function. • Potential total numbers of confirmed cases in different regions were estimated. • Key dates indicating minimal daily number of new confirmed cases were estimated. • Cumulative confirmed cases of 2003 SARS-CoV were well...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Fu, Xinmiao, Ying, Qi, Zeng, Tieyong, Long, Tao, Wang, Yan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The British Infection Association. Published by Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7127674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32112887
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.02.019
Descripción
Sumario:• Cumulative confirmed cases in China were well fitted with Boltzmann function. • Potential total numbers of confirmed cases in different regions were estimated. • Key dates indicating minimal daily number of new confirmed cases were estimated. • Cumulative confirmed cases of 2003 SARS-CoV were well fitted to Boltzmann function. • The Boltzmann function was, for the first time, applied to epidemic analysis.