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An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopu...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7139907/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32270285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0 |
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author | Seno, Hiromi |
author_facet | Seno, Hiromi |
author_sort | Seno, Hiromi |
collection | PubMed |
description | An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopulations: commuter and non-commuter, of which the commuter has two phases of the day-to-day activity: private and social. Further we take account of the combination of contact patterns in two phases, making use of mass-action and ratio-dependent types for the infection force. We investigate the dependence of the basic reproduction number on the commuter ratio and the daily expected duration at the social phase as essential factors characterizing the community structure, and show that the dependence is significantly affected by the combination of contact patterns, and that the difference in the commuter ratio could make the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease significantly different. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7139907 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-71399072020-04-08 An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity Seno, Hiromi J Math Biol Article An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopulations: commuter and non-commuter, of which the commuter has two phases of the day-to-day activity: private and social. Further we take account of the combination of contact patterns in two phases, making use of mass-action and ratio-dependent types for the infection force. We investigate the dependence of the basic reproduction number on the commuter ratio and the daily expected duration at the social phase as essential factors characterizing the community structure, and show that the dependence is significantly affected by the combination of contact patterns, and that the difference in the commuter ratio could make the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease significantly different. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2020-04-08 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7139907/ /pubmed/32270285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0 Text en © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Seno, Hiromi An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title | An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title_full | An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title_fullStr | An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title_full_unstemmed | An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title_short | An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
title_sort | sis model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7139907/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32270285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT senohiromi ansismodelfortheepidemicdynamicswithtwophasesofthehumandaytodayactivity AT senohiromi sismodelfortheepidemicdynamicswithtwophasesofthehumandaytodayactivity |