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An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity

An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopu...

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Autor principal: Seno, Hiromi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7139907/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32270285
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0
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author Seno, Hiromi
author_facet Seno, Hiromi
author_sort Seno, Hiromi
collection PubMed
description An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopulations: commuter and non-commuter, of which the commuter has two phases of the day-to-day activity: private and social. Further we take account of the combination of contact patterns in two phases, making use of mass-action and ratio-dependent types for the infection force. We investigate the dependence of the basic reproduction number on the commuter ratio and the daily expected duration at the social phase as essential factors characterizing the community structure, and show that the dependence is significantly affected by the combination of contact patterns, and that the difference in the commuter ratio could make the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease significantly different.
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spelling pubmed-71399072020-04-08 An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity Seno, Hiromi J Math Biol Article An SIS model is analyzed to consider the contribution of community structure to the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease. We focus on the human day-to-day activity introduced by commuting to a central place for the social activity. We assume that the community is classified into two subpopulations: commuter and non-commuter, of which the commuter has two phases of the day-to-day activity: private and social. Further we take account of the combination of contact patterns in two phases, making use of mass-action and ratio-dependent types for the infection force. We investigate the dependence of the basic reproduction number on the commuter ratio and the daily expected duration at the social phase as essential factors characterizing the community structure, and show that the dependence is significantly affected by the combination of contact patterns, and that the difference in the commuter ratio could make the risk of the spread of a transmissible disease significantly different. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2020-04-08 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7139907/ /pubmed/32270285 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0 Text en © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Seno, Hiromi
An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title_full An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title_fullStr An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title_full_unstemmed An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title_short An SIS model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
title_sort sis model for the epidemic dynamics with two phases of the human day-to-day activity
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7139907/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32270285
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-020-01491-0
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