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Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling

Over the last decade, the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models has gained popularity, largely due to the advantages afforded by the Bayesian hierarchical framework. Despite recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models, model comparison continues to rely o...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Gronau, Quentin F., Heathcote, Andrew, Matzke, Dora
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7148283/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31755028
http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13428-019-01290-6
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author Gronau, Quentin F.
Heathcote, Andrew
Matzke, Dora
author_facet Gronau, Quentin F.
Heathcote, Andrew
Matzke, Dora
author_sort Gronau, Quentin F.
collection PubMed
description Over the last decade, the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models has gained popularity, largely due to the advantages afforded by the Bayesian hierarchical framework. Despite recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models, model comparison continues to rely on suboptimal procedures, such as posterior parameter inference and model selection criteria known to favor overly complex models. In this paper, we advocate model comparison for evidence-accumulation models based on the Bayes factor obtained via Warp-III bridge sampling. We demonstrate, using the linear ballistic accumulator (LBA), that Warp-III sampling provides a powerful and flexible approach that can be applied to both nested and non-nested model comparisons, even in complex and high-dimensional hierarchical instantiations of the LBA. We provide an easy-to-use software implementation of the Warp-III sampler and outline a series of recommendations aimed at facilitating the use of Warp-III sampling in practical applications.
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spelling pubmed-71482832020-04-16 Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling Gronau, Quentin F. Heathcote, Andrew Matzke, Dora Behav Res Methods Article Over the last decade, the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models has gained popularity, largely due to the advantages afforded by the Bayesian hierarchical framework. Despite recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of evidence-accumulation models, model comparison continues to rely on suboptimal procedures, such as posterior parameter inference and model selection criteria known to favor overly complex models. In this paper, we advocate model comparison for evidence-accumulation models based on the Bayes factor obtained via Warp-III bridge sampling. We demonstrate, using the linear ballistic accumulator (LBA), that Warp-III sampling provides a powerful and flexible approach that can be applied to both nested and non-nested model comparisons, even in complex and high-dimensional hierarchical instantiations of the LBA. We provide an easy-to-use software implementation of the Warp-III sampler and outline a series of recommendations aimed at facilitating the use of Warp-III sampling in practical applications. Springer US 2019-11-21 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7148283/ /pubmed/31755028 http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13428-019-01290-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2019 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Article
Gronau, Quentin F.
Heathcote, Andrew
Matzke, Dora
Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title_full Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title_fullStr Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title_full_unstemmed Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title_short Computing Bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using Warp-III bridge sampling
title_sort computing bayes factors for evidence-accumulation models using warp-iii bridge sampling
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7148283/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31755028
http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13428-019-01290-6
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