Cargando…

Forecasting the 2017/2018 seasonal influenza epidemic in England using multiple dynamic transmission models: a case study

BACKGROUND: Since the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic, Public Health England have developed a suite of real-time statistical models utilising enhanced pandemic surveillance data to nowcast and forecast a future pandemic. Their ability to track seasonal influenza and predict heightened winter healthcare burden...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Birrell, Paul J., Zhang, Xu-Sheng, Corbella, Alice, van Leeuwen, Edwin, Panagiotopoulos, Nikolaos, Hoschler, Katja, Elliot, Alex J., McGee, Maryia, Lusignan, Simon de, Presanis, Anne M., Baguelin, Marc, Zambon, Maria, Charlett, André, Pebody, Richard G., Angelis, Daniela De
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	BioMed Central 2020
Materias:	Research Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7158152/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32293372 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-020-8455-9

Ejemplares similares

Estimating age-stratified influenza-associated invasive pneumococcal disease in England: A time-series model based on population surveillance data
por: Chiavenna, Chiara, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave
por: Birrell, Paul, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Changes in severity of 2009 pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in England: a Bayesian evidence synthesis
por: Presanis, A M, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Seroprevalence of Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 Virus Antibody, England, 2010 and 2011
por: Hoschler, Katja, et al.
Publicado: (2012)

Trends in COVID-19 hospital outcomes in England before and after vaccine introduction, a cohort study
por: Kirwan, Peter D., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Cost-effectiveness analysis of quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccines in England
por: Thorrington, Dominic, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Can syndromic surveillance help forecast winter hospital bed pressures in England?
por: Morbey, Roger A., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of Korea
por: Zhang, Xu‐Sheng, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Exploiting routinely collected severe case data to monitor and predict influenza outbreaks
por: Corbella, Alice, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Estimating the burden of adult hospital admissions due to RSV and other respiratory pathogens in England
por: Sharp, Ashley, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Viral Shedding in Recipients of Live Attenuated Influenza Vaccine in the 2016–2017 and 2017–2018 Influenza Seasons in the United Kingdom
por: Jackson, David, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Effect of mass paediatric influenza vaccination on existing influenza vaccination programmes in England and Wales: a modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis
por: Hodgson, David, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

End of season influenza vaccine effectiveness in adults and children in the United Kingdom in 2017/18
por: Pebody, Richard, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Serological surveillance of influenza in an English sentinel network: pilot study protocol
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Uptake and impact of vaccinating primary school children against influenza: Experiences in the fourth season of the live attenuated influenza vaccination programme, England, 2016/2017
por: Sinnathamby, Mary A., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Age-Specific Incidence of A/H1N1 2009 Influenza Infection in England from Sequential Antibody Prevalence Data Using Likelihood-Based Estimation
por: Baguelin, Marc, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Reconstructing a spatially heterogeneous epidemic: Characterising the geographic spread of 2009 A/H1N1pdm infection in England
por: Birrell, Paul J., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

fluEvidenceSynthesis: An R package for evidence synthesis based analysis of epidemiological outbreaks
por: van Leeuwen, Edwin, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Brand-specific enhanced safety surveillance of GSK’s Fluarix Tetra seasonal influenza vaccine in England: 2017/2018 season
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Seroepidemiologic Study of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 during Outbreak in Boarding School, England
por: Johnson, Sandra, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Household presentation of influenza and acute respiratory illnesses to a primary care sentinel network: retrospective database studies (2013–2018)
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Four key challenges in infectious disease modelling using data from multiple sources
por: De Angelis, Daniela, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Mortality Attributable to Influenza in England and Wales Prior to, during and after the 2009 Pandemic
por: Green, Helen K., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Using probabilistically linked data to investigate the burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in children <5 years of age on secondary care in England
por: Reeves, Rachel, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Screening for Candida auris in patients admitted to eight intensive care units in England, 2017 to 2018
por: Sharp, Ashley, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Do point-of-care tests (POCTs) offer a new paradigm for the management of patients with influenza?
por: Dickson, Elizabeth M, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Conurbation, Urban, and Rural Living as Determinants of Allergies and Infectious Diseases: Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre Annual Report 2016-2017
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Rapid influenza molecular testing in secondary care and influenza surveillance in England: Any impact?
por: Boddington, Nicki L., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Retrospective Observational Study of Atypical Winter Respiratory Illness Season Using Real-Time Syndromic Surveillance, England, 2014–15
por: Smith, Sue, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

The Application of a Novel Statistical Method for Syndromic Surveillance in England
por: Morbey, Roger, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Comparing the Immunogenicity of AS03-Adjuvanted 2009 Pandemic H1N1 Vaccine with Clinical Protection in Priority Risk Groups in England
por: Yung, Chee-Fu, et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the household setting: A prospective cohort study in children and adults in England
por: Miller, Elizabeth, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Incidence of Lower Respiratory Tract Infections and Atopic Conditions in Boys and Young Male Adults: Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre Annual Report 2015-2016
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Factors associated with four atypical cases of congenital syphilis in England, 2016 to 2017: an ecological analysis
por: Furegato, Martina, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

The Possible Impact of Vaccination for Seasonal Influenza on Emergence of Pandemic Influenza via Reassortment
por: Zhang, Xu-Sheng, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Enhanced passive surveillance of influenza vaccination in England, 2016−2017– an observational study using an adverse events reporting card
por: de Lusignan, Simon, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Demographic and socioeconomic patterns in healthcare-seeking behaviour for respiratory symptoms in England: a comparison with non-respiratory symptoms and between three healthcare services
por: Morrison, Kirsty E, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Oseltamivir-Resistant Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 Virus Infection in England and Scotland, 2009–2010
por: Calatayud, Laurence, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Duration of infectiousness and correlation with RT-PCR cycle threshold values in cases of COVID-19, England, January to May 2020
por: Singanayagam, Anika, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Informatics as Tool for Quality Improvement: Rapid Implementation of Guidance for the Management of Chronic Kidney Disease in England as an Exemplar
por: de Lusignan, Simon
Publicado: (2013)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_vrv7at2gi3atv13bchjv5guovd