Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187–3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109–112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095–3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494–26...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Gao, Yuanyuan, Zhang, Zuqin, Yao, Wei, Ying, Qi, Long, Cheng, Fu, Xinmiao
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cambridge University Press 2020
Materias:
Concise Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7163192/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32238216
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/ice.2020.101
Descripción
Sumario:The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187–3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109–112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095–3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494–2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607–632) outside Wuhan.

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