The clinical value and usage of inflammatory and nutritional markers in survival prediction for gastric cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and D2 lymphadenectomy

BACKGROUND: The clinical values of inflammatory and nutritional markers remained unclear for gastric cancer with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). METHODS: The inflammatory, nutritional markers and their changes were analyzed for locally advanced gastric cancer with NACT. The predictive value was evaluated by the Cox proportional hazards regressions under three hypothesized scenarios. The nomograms including independent prognostic factors were plotted for survival prediction. RESULTS: A total of 225 patients were included in the study. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune-inflammation index, and hemoglobin (Hgb) were significantly reduced, and the body mass index was significantly increased after NACT (all P < 0.05). The pre-NACT NLR [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.176, P = 0.059] showed a trend to correlate with the overall survival (OS) when only pre-NACT markers available; The post-NACT Hgb (HR = 0.982, P = 0.015) was the independent prognostic factor when only post-NACT markers available; The post-NACT Hgb (HR = 0.984, P = 0.025) and the change value of LMR (HR = 1.183, P = 0.036) were the independent prognostic factors when both pre- and post-NACT markers available. The nomogram had a similar Harrell’s C-statistic compared to ypTNM stage (0.719 vs. 0.706). CONCLUSION: For locally advanced gastric cancer, the NACT could significantly decrease some inflammatory markers. The pre-NACT NLR, the post-NACT Hgb and the change value of LMR had some values in survival prediction combined with age, sex, tumor location and the clinical stages under different clinical scenarios. The elevated initial NLR, the preoperative anemia and the greater change value of LMR implied a poor prognosis. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s10120-019-01027-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.