Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020

Motivated by the potential devastating effect of a COVID-19 outbreak in retirement homes and long-term facilities for dependent elderly, we present the impact of worst-case scenarios in French institutions using a specific age structure and case–age fatality ratios. The death toll could equal the ye...

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Autores principales: Etard, Jean-François, Vanhems, Philippe, Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia, Ecochard, René
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7175651/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32317051
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.15.2000448
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author Etard, Jean-François
Vanhems, Philippe
Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia
Ecochard, René
author_facet Etard, Jean-François
Vanhems, Philippe
Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia
Ecochard, René
author_sort Etard, Jean-François
collection PubMed
description Motivated by the potential devastating effect of a COVID-19 outbreak in retirement homes and long-term facilities for dependent elderly, we present the impact of worst-case scenarios in French institutions using a specific age structure and case–age fatality ratios. The death toll could equal the yearly death toll caused by seasonal influenza in those older than 65 years or could largely exceed that, depending on the final attack rate and proportion of infected institutions.
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spelling pubmed-71756512020-04-29 Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020 Etard, Jean-François Vanhems, Philippe Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia Ecochard, René Euro Surveill Rapid Communication Motivated by the potential devastating effect of a COVID-19 outbreak in retirement homes and long-term facilities for dependent elderly, we present the impact of worst-case scenarios in French institutions using a specific age structure and case–age fatality ratios. The death toll could equal the yearly death toll caused by seasonal influenza in those older than 65 years or could largely exceed that, depending on the final attack rate and proportion of infected institutions. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020-04-16 /pmc/articles/PMC7175651/ /pubmed/32317051 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.15.2000448 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Etard, Jean-François
Vanhems, Philippe
Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia
Ecochard, René
Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title_full Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title_fullStr Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title_full_unstemmed Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title_short Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020
title_sort potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (covid-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, france, march 2020
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7175651/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32317051
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.15.2000448
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