A simple model for COVID-19

An [Formula: see text] epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, wit...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Arino, Julien, Portet, Stéphanie
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:
Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7186130/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32346663
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002
Descripción
Sumario:An [Formula: see text] epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic.

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