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A simple model for COVID-19

An [Formula: see text] epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, wit...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Arino, Julien, Portet, Stéphanie
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7186130/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32346663
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002
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author Arino, Julien
Portet, Stéphanie
author_facet Arino, Julien
Portet, Stéphanie
author_sort Arino, Julien
collection PubMed
description An [Formula: see text] epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic.
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spelling pubmed-71861302020-04-28 A simple model for COVID-19 Arino, Julien Portet, Stéphanie Infect Dis Model Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu An [Formula: see text] epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic. KeAi Publishing 2020-04-28 /pmc/articles/PMC7186130/ /pubmed/32346663 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002 Text en © 2020 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Arino, Julien
Portet, Stéphanie
A simple model for COVID-19
title A simple model for COVID-19
title_full A simple model for COVID-19
title_fullStr A simple model for COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed A simple model for COVID-19
title_short A simple model for COVID-19
title_sort simple model for covid-19
topic Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7186130/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32346663
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002
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