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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm

The “novel” coronavirus disease 2019 (abbreviated “COVID-19”) is the third coronavirus outbreak emerging during the past two decades. This infectious disease, sustained by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has been recently declared a global pandemic by the World Health O...

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Autores principales: Lippi, Giuseppe, Sanchis-Gomar, Fabian, Henry, Brandon M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: AME Publishing Company 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7210187/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32395541
http://dx.doi.org/10.21037/atm.2020.03.157
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author Lippi, Giuseppe
Sanchis-Gomar, Fabian
Henry, Brandon M.
author_facet Lippi, Giuseppe
Sanchis-Gomar, Fabian
Henry, Brandon M.
author_sort Lippi, Giuseppe
collection PubMed
description The “novel” coronavirus disease 2019 (abbreviated “COVID-19”) is the third coronavirus outbreak emerging during the past two decades. This infectious disease, sustained by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has been recently declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization. Despite the concerning epidemiological burden, many people, including some policymakers, are underestimating this pandemic and are remaining enigmatically inactive against a human pathology which, for a combination of reasons, can be reasonably defined as a perfect storm (i.e., the “wrong virus” at the “wrong time”). These many paradigmatic aspects include SARS-CoV-2 structure and peculiar biology of infection, high risk of inter-human transmission, long incubation time combined with early and sustained viral load, existence of asymptomatic or mildly-symptomatic carriers, viral shedding for days after symptom relief, unfavorable progression towards respiratory distress and death in up to 5–10% of patients thus causing dramatic healthcare challenges, as well as environmental contamination. Last but not least, the combination of the current case fatality rate with the extraordinary number of people that could be potentially infected by SARS-CoV-2 would permit to estimate that the worldwide deaths for COVID-19 may even approximate those recorded during World War II if appropriate restrictive measures for preventing human-to-human transmission are not readily undertaken. Everybody should be inexcusably aware that this is not a drill, and that the consequences of inadequate action will be tragedy.
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spelling pubmed-72101872020-05-11 Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm Lippi, Giuseppe Sanchis-Gomar, Fabian Henry, Brandon M. Ann Transl Med Review Article The “novel” coronavirus disease 2019 (abbreviated “COVID-19”) is the third coronavirus outbreak emerging during the past two decades. This infectious disease, sustained by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has been recently declared a global pandemic by the World Health Organization. Despite the concerning epidemiological burden, many people, including some policymakers, are underestimating this pandemic and are remaining enigmatically inactive against a human pathology which, for a combination of reasons, can be reasonably defined as a perfect storm (i.e., the “wrong virus” at the “wrong time”). These many paradigmatic aspects include SARS-CoV-2 structure and peculiar biology of infection, high risk of inter-human transmission, long incubation time combined with early and sustained viral load, existence of asymptomatic or mildly-symptomatic carriers, viral shedding for days after symptom relief, unfavorable progression towards respiratory distress and death in up to 5–10% of patients thus causing dramatic healthcare challenges, as well as environmental contamination. Last but not least, the combination of the current case fatality rate with the extraordinary number of people that could be potentially infected by SARS-CoV-2 would permit to estimate that the worldwide deaths for COVID-19 may even approximate those recorded during World War II if appropriate restrictive measures for preventing human-to-human transmission are not readily undertaken. Everybody should be inexcusably aware that this is not a drill, and that the consequences of inadequate action will be tragedy. AME Publishing Company 2020-04 /pmc/articles/PMC7210187/ /pubmed/32395541 http://dx.doi.org/10.21037/atm.2020.03.157 Text en 2020 Annals of Translational Medicine. All rights reserved. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Review Article
Lippi, Giuseppe
Sanchis-Gomar, Fabian
Henry, Brandon M.
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title_full Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title_fullStr Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title_full_unstemmed Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title_short Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
title_sort coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19): the portrait of a perfect storm
topic Review Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7210187/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32395541
http://dx.doi.org/10.21037/atm.2020.03.157
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