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Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network

In this work we propose and investigate a strategy of vaccination which we call “dynamic vaccination.” In our model, susceptible people become aware that one or more of their contacts are infected and thereby get vaccinated with probability [Formula: see text] , before having physical contact with a...

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Autores principales: Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G., Di Muro, M. A., Havlin, S., Braunstein, L. A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Physical Society 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7217549/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30780375
http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.012302
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author Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G.
Di Muro, M. A.
Havlin, S.
Braunstein, L. A.
author_facet Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G.
Di Muro, M. A.
Havlin, S.
Braunstein, L. A.
author_sort Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G.
collection PubMed
description In this work we propose and investigate a strategy of vaccination which we call “dynamic vaccination.” In our model, susceptible people become aware that one or more of their contacts are infected and thereby get vaccinated with probability [Formula: see text] , before having physical contact with any infected patient. Then the nonvaccinated individuals will be infected with probability [Formula: see text]. We apply the strategy to the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model in a multiplex network composed by two networks, where a fraction [Formula: see text] of the nodes acts in both networks. We map this model of dynamic vaccination into bond percolation model and use the generating functions framework to predict theoretically the behavior of the relevant magnitudes of the system at the steady state. We find a perfect agreement between the solutions of the theoretical equations and the results of stochastic simulations. In addition, we find an interesting phase diagram in the plane [Formula: see text] , which is composed of an epidemic and a nonepidemic phase, separated by a critical threshold line [Formula: see text] , which depends on [Formula: see text]. As [Formula: see text] decreases, [Formula: see text] increases, i.e., as the overlap decreases, the system is more disconnected, and therefore more virulent diseases are needed to spread epidemics. Surprisingly, we find that, for all values of [Formula: see text] , a region in the diagram where the vaccination is so efficient that, regardless of the virulence of the disease, it never becomes an epidemic. We compare our strategy with random immunization and find that, using the same amount of vaccines for both scenarios, we obtain that the spread of disease is much lower in the case of dynamic vaccination when compared to random immunization. Furthermore, we also compare our strategy with targeted immunization and we find that, depending on [Formula: see text] , dynamic vaccination will perform significantly better and in some cases will stop the disease before it becomes an epidemic.
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spelling pubmed-72175492020-05-13 Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G. Di Muro, M. A. Havlin, S. Braunstein, L. A. Phys Rev E Articles In this work we propose and investigate a strategy of vaccination which we call “dynamic vaccination.” In our model, susceptible people become aware that one or more of their contacts are infected and thereby get vaccinated with probability [Formula: see text] , before having physical contact with any infected patient. Then the nonvaccinated individuals will be infected with probability [Formula: see text]. We apply the strategy to the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model in a multiplex network composed by two networks, where a fraction [Formula: see text] of the nodes acts in both networks. We map this model of dynamic vaccination into bond percolation model and use the generating functions framework to predict theoretically the behavior of the relevant magnitudes of the system at the steady state. We find a perfect agreement between the solutions of the theoretical equations and the results of stochastic simulations. In addition, we find an interesting phase diagram in the plane [Formula: see text] , which is composed of an epidemic and a nonepidemic phase, separated by a critical threshold line [Formula: see text] , which depends on [Formula: see text]. As [Formula: see text] decreases, [Formula: see text] increases, i.e., as the overlap decreases, the system is more disconnected, and therefore more virulent diseases are needed to spread epidemics. Surprisingly, we find that, for all values of [Formula: see text] , a region in the diagram where the vaccination is so efficient that, regardless of the virulence of the disease, it never becomes an epidemic. We compare our strategy with random immunization and find that, using the same amount of vaccines for both scenarios, we obtain that the spread of disease is much lower in the case of dynamic vaccination when compared to random immunization. Furthermore, we also compare our strategy with targeted immunization and we find that, depending on [Formula: see text] , dynamic vaccination will perform significantly better and in some cases will stop the disease before it becomes an epidemic. American Physical Society 2019-01-02 2019-01 /pmc/articles/PMC7217549/ /pubmed/30780375 http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.012302 Text en ©2019 American Physical Society This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source.
spellingShingle Articles
Alvarez-Zuzek, L. G.
Di Muro, M. A.
Havlin, S.
Braunstein, L. A.
Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title_full Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title_fullStr Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title_short Dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
title_sort dynamic vaccination in partially overlapped multiplex network
topic Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7217549/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30780375
http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.012302
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