Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020

For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceedin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pearson, Carl AB, Van Schalkwyk, Cari, Foss, Anna M, O’Reilly, Kathleen M, Pulliam, Juliet RC
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7219031/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32400361
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543
Descripción
Sumario:For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.

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