Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020

For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceedin...

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Autores principales: Pearson, Carl AB, Van Schalkwyk, Cari, Foss, Anna M, O’Reilly, Kathleen M, Pulliam, Juliet RC
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7219031/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32400361
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543
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author Pearson, Carl AB
Van Schalkwyk, Cari
Foss, Anna M
O’Reilly, Kathleen M
Pulliam, Juliet RC
author_facet Pearson, Carl AB
Van Schalkwyk, Cari
Foss, Anna M
O’Reilly, Kathleen M
Pulliam, Juliet RC
author_sort Pearson, Carl AB
collection PubMed
description For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.
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spelling pubmed-72190312020-05-15 Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020 Pearson, Carl AB Van Schalkwyk, Cari Foss, Anna M O’Reilly, Kathleen M Pulliam, Juliet RC Euro Surveill Rapid Communication For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020-05-07 /pmc/articles/PMC7219031/ /pubmed/32400361 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2020. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Pearson, Carl AB
Van Schalkwyk, Cari
Foss, Anna M
O’Reilly, Kathleen M
Pulliam, Juliet RC
Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title_full Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title_fullStr Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title_full_unstemmed Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title_short Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
title_sort projected early spread of covid-19 in africa through 1 june 2020
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7219031/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32400361
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543
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