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Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms

In the Era of exponential data generation, increasing the number of paleoclimate records to improve climate field reconstructions might not always be the best strategy. By using pseudo-proxies from different model ensembles, we show how biologically-inspired artificial intelligence can be coupled wi...

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Autores principales: Jaume-Santero, Fernando, Barriopedro, David, García-Herrera, Ricardo, Calvo, Natalia, Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7221084/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32404961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6
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author Jaume-Santero, Fernando
Barriopedro, David
García-Herrera, Ricardo
Calvo, Natalia
Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
author_facet Jaume-Santero, Fernando
Barriopedro, David
García-Herrera, Ricardo
Calvo, Natalia
Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
author_sort Jaume-Santero, Fernando
collection PubMed
description In the Era of exponential data generation, increasing the number of paleoclimate records to improve climate field reconstructions might not always be the best strategy. By using pseudo-proxies from different model ensembles, we show how biologically-inspired artificial intelligence can be coupled with different reconstruction methods to minimize the spatial bias induced by the non-homogeneous distribution of available proxies. The results indicate that small subsets of records situated over representative locations can outperform the reconstruction skill of the full proxy network, even in more realistic pseudo-proxy experiments and observational datasets. These locations highlight the importance of high-latitude regions and major teleconnection areas to reconstruct annual global temperature fields and their responses to external forcings and internal variability. However, low frequency temperature variations such as the transition between the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little Ice Age are better resolved by records situated at lower latitudes. According to our idealized experiments a careful selection of proxy locations should be performed depending on the targeted time scale of the reconstructed field.
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spelling pubmed-72210842020-05-20 Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms Jaume-Santero, Fernando Barriopedro, David García-Herrera, Ricardo Calvo, Natalia Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho Sci Rep Article In the Era of exponential data generation, increasing the number of paleoclimate records to improve climate field reconstructions might not always be the best strategy. By using pseudo-proxies from different model ensembles, we show how biologically-inspired artificial intelligence can be coupled with different reconstruction methods to minimize the spatial bias induced by the non-homogeneous distribution of available proxies. The results indicate that small subsets of records situated over representative locations can outperform the reconstruction skill of the full proxy network, even in more realistic pseudo-proxy experiments and observational datasets. These locations highlight the importance of high-latitude regions and major teleconnection areas to reconstruct annual global temperature fields and their responses to external forcings and internal variability. However, low frequency temperature variations such as the transition between the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little Ice Age are better resolved by records situated at lower latitudes. According to our idealized experiments a careful selection of proxy locations should be performed depending on the targeted time scale of the reconstructed field. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-05-13 /pmc/articles/PMC7221084/ /pubmed/32404961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Jaume-Santero, Fernando
Barriopedro, David
García-Herrera, Ricardo
Calvo, Natalia
Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title_full Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title_fullStr Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title_short Selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
title_sort selection of optimal proxy locations for temperature field reconstructions using evolutionary algorithms
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7221084/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32404961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64459-6
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