Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) from Wuhan to Cities in China

On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain an emerging coronavirus (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 cities in China before the quarantine. The expected risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89–190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metr...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Du, Zhanwei, Wang, Lin, Cauchemez, Simon, Xu, Xiaoke, Wang, Xianwen, Cowling, Benjamin J., Meyers, Lauren Ancel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239085/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511457
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.28.20019299
Descripción
Sumario:On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain an emerging coronavirus (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 cities in China before the quarantine. The expected risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89–190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas of China.

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