Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases

Cases from the ongoing outbreak of atypical pneumonia caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) exported from mainland China can lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other populations. Internationally imported cases are currently being reported in several different locations. Early detection o...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: De Salazar, PM, Niehus, R, Taylor, A, Buckee, C, Lipsitch, M
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239086/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511458
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.04.20020495
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author De Salazar, PM
Niehus, R
Taylor, A
Buckee, C
Lipsitch, M
author_facet De Salazar, PM
Niehus, R
Taylor, A
Buckee, C
Lipsitch, M
author_sort De Salazar, PM
collection PubMed
description Cases from the ongoing outbreak of atypical pneumonia caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) exported from mainland China can lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other populations. Internationally imported cases are currently being reported in several different locations. Early detection of imported cases is critical for containment of the virus. Based on air travel volume estimates from Wuhan to international destinations and using a generalized linear regression model we identify locations which may potentially have undetected internationally imported cases.
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spelling pubmed-72390862020-06-07 Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases De Salazar, PM Niehus, R Taylor, A Buckee, C Lipsitch, M medRxiv Article Cases from the ongoing outbreak of atypical pneumonia caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) exported from mainland China can lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other populations. Internationally imported cases are currently being reported in several different locations. Early detection of imported cases is critical for containment of the virus. Based on air travel volume estimates from Wuhan to international destinations and using a generalized linear regression model we identify locations which may potentially have undetected internationally imported cases. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020-02-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7239086/ /pubmed/32511458 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.04.20020495 Text en http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
De Salazar, PM
Niehus, R
Taylor, A
Buckee, C
Lipsitch, M
Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title_full Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title_fullStr Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title_full_unstemmed Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title_short Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
title_sort using predicted imports of 2019-ncov cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7239086/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511458
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.04.20020495
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