The early predictive role of complement C3 and C4 in patients with acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE: The prognostic role of complement C3 and C4 in peripheral blood in early stage of acute pancreatitis (AP) is unknown. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of C3 and C4 in early stage of AP. METHODS: A total of 164 patients were enrolled in this study. The blood samples were collected within 24 hours after AP onset. We compared C3 and C4 levels in patients with different AP severity. The optimal cutoff value for them to predict severe AP (SAP) was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The reduction of C3 and C4 levels was observed. For prediction of MSAP and SAP, the AUC of C3 and C4 levels was 0.695 (95% CI: 0.612‐0.779) and 0.739 (95% CI: 0.657‐0.821). The cutoff value of C3 and C4 levels was 0.705 and 0.145 g/L, with the sensitivity of 0.612 and 0.735, and the specificity of 0.735 and 0.710. For prediction of SAP, the AUC of C3 and C4 levels was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.607‐0.891) and 0.766 (95% CI: 0.596‐0.936). The cutoff value of C3 and C4 levels was 0.400 and 0.125 g/L, with the sensitivity of 0.859 and 0.767, and the specificity of 0.600 and 0.786. CONCLUSIONS: A marked change of complement C3 and C4 was observed in peripheral blood of patients with AP, suggesting the participation of complement system in the early phase of AP. C3 and C4 levels were sensitive and accurate in judging the severity of AP.