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COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models

The latest version of human coronavirus said to be COVID-19 came out as a sudden pandemic disease within human population and in the absence of vaccination and proper treatment till date, it daunting threats heavily to human lives, infecting more than 12, 11, 214 people and death more than 67, 666 p...

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Autores principales: Mishra, Bimal Kumar, Keshri, Ajit Kumar, Rao, Yerra Shankar, Mishra, Binay Kumar, Mahato, Buddhadeo, Ayesha, Syeda, Rukhaiyyar, Bansidhar Prasad, Saini, Dinesh Kumar, Singh, Aditya Kumar
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7247522/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32501378
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109928
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author Mishra, Bimal Kumar
Keshri, Ajit Kumar
Rao, Yerra Shankar
Mishra, Binay Kumar
Mahato, Buddhadeo
Ayesha, Syeda
Rukhaiyyar, Bansidhar Prasad
Saini, Dinesh Kumar
Singh, Aditya Kumar
author_facet Mishra, Bimal Kumar
Keshri, Ajit Kumar
Rao, Yerra Shankar
Mishra, Binay Kumar
Mahato, Buddhadeo
Ayesha, Syeda
Rukhaiyyar, Bansidhar Prasad
Saini, Dinesh Kumar
Singh, Aditya Kumar
author_sort Mishra, Bimal Kumar
collection PubMed
description The latest version of human coronavirus said to be COVID-19 came out as a sudden pandemic disease within human population and in the absence of vaccination and proper treatment till date, it daunting threats heavily to human lives, infecting more than 12, 11, 214 people and death more than 67, 666 people in 208 countries across the globe as on April 06, 2020, which is highly alarming. When no treatment or vaccine is available till date and to avoid COVID-19 to be transmitted in the community, social distancing is the only way to prevent the disease, which is well taken into account in our novel epidemic models as a special compartment, that is, home isolation. Based on the transmitting behavior of COVID-19 in the human population, we develop three quarantine models of this pandemic taking into account the compartments: susceptible population, immigrant population, home isolation population, infectious population, hospital quarantine population, and recovered population. Local and global asymptotic stability is proved for all the three models. Extensive numerical simulations are performed to establish the analytical results with suitable examples. Our research reveals that home isolation and quarantine to hospitals are the two pivot force-control policies under the present situation when no treatment is available for this pandemic.
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spelling pubmed-72475222020-05-26 COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models Mishra, Bimal Kumar Keshri, Ajit Kumar Rao, Yerra Shankar Mishra, Binay Kumar Mahato, Buddhadeo Ayesha, Syeda Rukhaiyyar, Bansidhar Prasad Saini, Dinesh Kumar Singh, Aditya Kumar Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The latest version of human coronavirus said to be COVID-19 came out as a sudden pandemic disease within human population and in the absence of vaccination and proper treatment till date, it daunting threats heavily to human lives, infecting more than 12, 11, 214 people and death more than 67, 666 people in 208 countries across the globe as on April 06, 2020, which is highly alarming. When no treatment or vaccine is available till date and to avoid COVID-19 to be transmitted in the community, social distancing is the only way to prevent the disease, which is well taken into account in our novel epidemic models as a special compartment, that is, home isolation. Based on the transmitting behavior of COVID-19 in the human population, we develop three quarantine models of this pandemic taking into account the compartments: susceptible population, immigrant population, home isolation population, infectious population, hospital quarantine population, and recovered population. Local and global asymptotic stability is proved for all the three models. Extensive numerical simulations are performed to establish the analytical results with suitable examples. Our research reveals that home isolation and quarantine to hospitals are the two pivot force-control policies under the present situation when no treatment is available for this pandemic. Elsevier Ltd. 2020-09 2020-05-25 /pmc/articles/PMC7247522/ /pubmed/32501378 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109928 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Mishra, Bimal Kumar
Keshri, Ajit Kumar
Rao, Yerra Shankar
Mishra, Binay Kumar
Mahato, Buddhadeo
Ayesha, Syeda
Rukhaiyyar, Bansidhar Prasad
Saini, Dinesh Kumar
Singh, Aditya Kumar
COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title_full COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title_fullStr COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title_short COVID-19 created chaos across the globe: Three novel quarantine epidemic models
title_sort covid-19 created chaos across the globe: three novel quarantine epidemic models
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7247522/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32501378
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109928
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