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Estimation of COVID-19 dynamics “on a back-of-envelope”: Does the simplest SIR model provide quantitative parameters and predictions?
Basing on existence of the mathematically sequential reduction of the three-compartmental (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered/Removed) model to the Verhulst (logistic) equation with the parameters determined by the basic characteristic of epidemic process, this model is tested in application to the rece...
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Elsevier Ltd.
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7252058/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32501369 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109841 |