Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model

Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as th...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ifguis, Ousama, El Ghozlani, Mohamed, Ammou, Fouzia, Moutcine, Abdelaziz, Abdellah, Zeroual
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2020
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7265685/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32565842
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9769267
_version_ 1783541175919050752
author Ifguis, Ousama
El Ghozlani, Mohamed
Ammou, Fouzia
Moutcine, Abdelaziz
Abdellah, Zeroual
author_facet Ifguis, Ousama
El Ghozlani, Mohamed
Ammou, Fouzia
Moutcine, Abdelaziz
Abdellah, Zeroual
author_sort Ifguis, Ousama
collection PubMed
description Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the simpler ones such as the SIR model. These studies showed that the SIR model is much more efficient than the SEIR model; therefore, we are applying this model in the Kingdom of Morocco since the appearance of the first case on 2 March 2020, with the objective of predicting the final size of the epidemic.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7265685
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher Hindawi
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-72656852020-06-19 Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model Ifguis, Ousama El Ghozlani, Mohamed Ammou, Fouzia Moutcine, Abdelaziz Abdellah, Zeroual J Environ Public Health Research Article Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the simpler ones such as the SIR model. These studies showed that the SIR model is much more efficient than the SEIR model; therefore, we are applying this model in the Kingdom of Morocco since the appearance of the first case on 2 March 2020, with the objective of predicting the final size of the epidemic. Hindawi 2020-06-02 /pmc/articles/PMC7265685/ /pubmed/32565842 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9769267 Text en Copyright © 2020 Ousama Ifguis et al. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Ifguis, Ousama
El Ghozlani, Mohamed
Ammou, Fouzia
Moutcine, Abdelaziz
Abdellah, Zeroual
Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title_full Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title_fullStr Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title_short Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model
title_sort simulation of the final size of the evolution curve of coronavirus epidemic in morocco using the sir model
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7265685/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32565842
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9769267
work_keys_str_mv AT ifguisousama simulationofthefinalsizeoftheevolutioncurveofcoronavirusepidemicinmoroccousingthesirmodel
AT elghozlanimohamed simulationofthefinalsizeoftheevolutioncurveofcoronavirusepidemicinmoroccousingthesirmodel
AT ammoufouzia simulationofthefinalsizeoftheevolutioncurveofcoronavirusepidemicinmoroccousingthesirmodel
AT moutcineabdelaziz simulationofthefinalsizeoftheevolutioncurveofcoronavirusepidemicinmoroccousingthesirmodel
AT abdellahzeroual simulationofthefinalsizeoftheevolutioncurveofcoronavirusepidemicinmoroccousingthesirmodel

Ejemplares similares