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A simplified math approach to predict ICU beds and mortality rate for hospital emergency planning under Covid-19 pandemic

The different stages of Covid-19 pandemic can be described by two key-variables: ICU patients and deaths in hospitals. We propose simple models that can be used by medical doctors and decision makers to predict the trends on both short-term and long-term horizons. Daily updates of the models with re...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Manca, Davide, Caldiroli, Dario, Storti, Enrico
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7271874/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32565584
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compchemeng.2020.106945