Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown

A recent study tested 45 throat swabs taken from adults over age 30 who sought outpatient care at one of two central Wuhan hospitals for influenza-like-illness between December 30, 2019 and January 19, 2020. Although none were confirmed COVID-19 cases, nine retrospectively tested positive for the vi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Du, Zhanwei, Cowling, Benjamin J., Meyers, Lauren Ancel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7276025/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511598
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.26.20075937
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author Du, Zhanwei
Cowling, Benjamin J.
Meyers, Lauren Ancel
author_facet Du, Zhanwei
Cowling, Benjamin J.
Meyers, Lauren Ancel
author_sort Du, Zhanwei
collection PubMed
description A recent study tested 45 throat swabs taken from adults over age 30 who sought outpatient care at one of two central Wuhan hospitals for influenza-like-illness between December 30, 2019 and January 19, 2020. Although none were confirmed COVID-19 cases, nine retrospectively tested positive for the virus. Using the fact that Wuhan has 393 other hospitals, we extrapolate the total number of undetected cases of symptomatic COVID-19 in adults during this period. we estimate that there were 5,558 [95% CI: 2,761-9,864] adults with symptomatic COVID-19 infections in Wuhan between December 30th and January 19th, 2020.
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spelling pubmed-72760252020-06-07 Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown Du, Zhanwei Cowling, Benjamin J. Meyers, Lauren Ancel medRxiv Article A recent study tested 45 throat swabs taken from adults over age 30 who sought outpatient care at one of two central Wuhan hospitals for influenza-like-illness between December 30, 2019 and January 19, 2020. Although none were confirmed COVID-19 cases, nine retrospectively tested positive for the virus. Using the fact that Wuhan has 393 other hospitals, we extrapolate the total number of undetected cases of symptomatic COVID-19 in adults during this period. we estimate that there were 5,558 [95% CI: 2,761-9,864] adults with symptomatic COVID-19 infections in Wuhan between December 30th and January 19th, 2020. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2020-05-01 /pmc/articles/PMC7276025/ /pubmed/32511598 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.26.20075937 Text en http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Du, Zhanwei
Cowling, Benjamin J.
Meyers, Lauren Ancel
Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title_full Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title_fullStr Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title_full_unstemmed Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title_short Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Wuhan prior to the lockdown
title_sort using the covid-19 to influenza ratio to estimate the numbers of symptomatic covid-19 cases in wuhan prior to the lockdown
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7276025/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32511598
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.26.20075937
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