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To lockdown? When to peak? Will there be an end? A macroeconomic analysis on COVID-19 epidemic in the United States
In this paper, we construct an extended SIR model with agents optimally choosing outdoor activities. We calibrate the model and match it to the data from the United States. The model predicts the epidemic in the United States very well. Without government intervention, our simulation shows that the...
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Elsevier Inc.
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7286282/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32542061 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2020.103230 |