Prediction of cardiac events using fully automated GLS and BNP titers in patients with known or suspected heart failure

BACKGROUND: Although global longitudinal strain (GLS) measurements provide useful predictive information, measurement variability is still a major concern. We sought to determine whether fully automated GLS measurements could predict future cardiac events in patients with known or suspected heart failure (HF). METHODS: GLS was measured using fully automated 2D speckle tracking analysis software (AutoStrain, TomTec) in 3,150 subjects who had undergone clinically indicated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) assays and echocardiographic examinations. Among 1,514 patients in the derivation cohort, optimal cut-off values of BNP and GLS for cardiac death (CD) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were determined using survival classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. The remaining 1,636 patients, comprising the validation cohort, were stratified into subgroups according to predefined cut-off values, and survival curves were compared. RESULTS: Survival CART analysis selected GLS with cut-off values of 6.2% and 14.0% for predicting CD. GLS of 6.9% and 13.9% and BNP of 83.2 pg/mL and 206.3 pg/mL were selected for predicting MACEs. For simplicity, we defined GLS of 7% and 14% and BNP of 100 pg/mL and 200 pg/mL as cut-off values. These cut-off values stratify high-risk patients in the validation cohort with known or suspected HF for both CD and MACEs. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to BNP, fully automated GLS measurements provide prognostic information for patients with known or suspected HF, and this approach facilitates clinical work flow.