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Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research

We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to link un...

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Autores principales: Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7309899/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834716
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2020.06.005
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author Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús
Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A.
author_facet Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús
Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A.
author_sort Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús
collection PubMed
description We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to link uncertainty shocks and business cycles. Third, we outline how we can specify uncertainty shocks. Fourth, we postulate a real business cycle model augmented with financial frictions and uncertainty shocks. Fifth, we use the model to illustrate our previous discussions and to show how uncertainty shocks can be expansionary, a useful finding in several contexts.
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spelling pubmed-73098992020-06-23 Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A. Rev Econ Dyn Article We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to link uncertainty shocks and business cycles. Third, we outline how we can specify uncertainty shocks. Fourth, we postulate a real business cycle model augmented with financial frictions and uncertainty shocks. Fifth, we use the model to illustrate our previous discussions and to show how uncertainty shocks can be expansionary, a useful finding in several contexts. Elsevier Inc. 2020-08 2020-06-23 /pmc/articles/PMC7309899/ /pubmed/32834716 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2020.06.005 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús
Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo A.
Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title_full Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title_fullStr Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title_short Uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
title_sort uncertainty shocks and business cycle research
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7309899/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834716
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2020.06.005
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